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Hamilton vs Montrose - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Scotland Scotland

League One ZLX Stadium, Hamilton
Sat, Oct 31, 2026
VS
03:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamilton host Montrose in the League One. History leans heavily one way in this fixture. Recent numbers: Hamilton at 2.09 goals for, 0.84 against; Montrose at 1.62 for, 1.34 against. Past meetings favor Hamilton slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Aug 1, 2026, ending 0:5. The numbers (2.06 xG vs 0.94) point toward Hamilton. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

52%
Hamilton
20%
Draws
28%
Montrose
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamilton

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

52% / Medium Confidence
  • Hamilton have won more games recently than Montrose.
  • 52% — that's where the model lands on Hamilton taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hamilton have taken 4 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 67.8%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 20%
Montrose Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton Montrose
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 22 15
Draws 5 4
Losses 5 10
Goals Scored 2.09 1.62
Goals Conceded 0.84 1.34
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 1, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Hamilton
0:5
Apr 18, 2026 League One
Montrose vs Hamilton
0:2
Feb 28, 2026 League One
Hamilton vs Montrose
1:1
Oct 18, 2025 League One
Montrose vs Hamilton
0:4
Aug 2, 2025 League One
Hamilton vs Montrose
2:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton 67 / 100
Montrose 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton Montrose

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamilton scored in 88% of their last 32 outings.

Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 5 of the last 5 games.

Montrose has conceded goals in 66% of their last 29 outings.

H2H data points to 3.00 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton VS Montrose
2.38 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 88%
75% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton

(Home)
27 Oct
Ross County
1 : 1
Hamilton
24 Oct
Hamilton
2 : 1
East Fife
17 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 2
Hamilton
13 Oct
Gala Fairydean Rovers
0 : 2
Hamilton
10 Oct
Alloa
0 : 3
Hamilton
Page 1 of 7

Montrose

(Away)
24 Oct
Montrose
3 : 0
Peterhead
17 Oct
East Kilbride
1 : 1
Montrose
13 Oct
Montrose
2 : 1
Dundee Utd B
10 Oct
Montrose
0 : 5
Ross County
03 Oct
Airdrieonians
1 : 0
Montrose
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Ross County 12 10 2 0 43:7 32
2 Hamilton 12 10 2 0 26:5 32
3 Montrose 12 6 1 5 17:20 19
4 East Kilbride 11 5 3 3 20:15 18
5 Airdrieonians 12 3 4 5 10:19 13
6 Queen of the South 12 4 1 7 13:34 13
7 Alloa 12 3 3 6 12:14 12
8 Peterhead 12 3 1 8 9:20 10
9 East Fife 12 1 6 5 9:16 9
10 Cove Rangers 11 1 3 7 9:18 6
Promotion - Championship 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League One (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - League Two 2027/2028 (Main)