Sport Picks
Hamilton vs Southern United
New Zealand
Football Championship 2019/2020 
Match Events
85'
85'
Pratt X.
(Penalty)
90'
90'
Coughlan G.
AI Match Summary
Neither side could be separated in this Football Championship 2019/2020 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
48%
15%
37%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
37%
/ Low Confidence
- Hamilton have won more games recently than Southern United.
- Win probability leans Southern United's way, sitting at 50%.
- Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Southern United here — 4 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 79.4%
Hamilton Clean Sheet 17%
Southern United Clean Sheet 12%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hamilton | Southern United |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 35 | 28 |
| Wins | 14 | 8 |
| Draws | 7 | 8 |
| Losses | 14 | 12 |
| Goals Scored | 1.66 | 1.46 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.91 | 2.18 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.23 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Feb 8, 2020 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Southern United
1:1
Nov 23, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hamilton
4:0
Jan 19, 2019 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hamilton
3:1
Nov 4, 2018 Football Championship
Hamilton vs Southern United
0:1
Mar 10, 2018 Football Championship
Southern United vs Hamilton
3:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hamilton Compare
Avg xG / game 0.95
Avg xA / game 0.61
Southern United Compare
Top Goalscorer Coughlan G.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hamilton 23 / 100
Southern United 47 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hamilton Southern United
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Southern United Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hamilton scored in 86% of their last 35 games.
Defensive concern: Southern United conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
Games between these two average 3.00 goals.
Recent resilience: Hamilton stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hamilton VS -
1.25 Goals Scored 0
1.75 Goals Conceded 0
100% Over 1.5 0%
50% Over 2.5 0%
25% Over 3.5 0%
Recent Form & Match History
Hamilton
(Home) 29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3 Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2 Ngaruawahia AFC
20 Aug
Eastern Suburbs
1 : 0 Hamilton
30 Jul
Miramar
3 : 4 Hamilton
09 Jul
Auckland United
0 : 1 Hamilton
Page 1 of 7
29 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 3 Christchurch
09 Jul
Hamilton
3 : 2 Ngaruawahia AFC
31 Jul
Hamilton
0 : 4 Cashmere Technical
10 Jul
Hamilton
5 : 1 Ngaruawahia AFC
14 Feb
Hamilton
3 : 2 Waitakere United
Page 1 of 4
Southern United
(Away) 14 Mar
Southern United
0 : 1 Team Wellington
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4 Southern United
15 Feb
Southern United
2 : 1 Waitakere United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1 Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0 Southern United
Page 1 of 6
29 Feb
Hawke s Bay
3 : 4 Southern United
08 Feb
Hamilton
1 : 1 Southern United
01 Feb
Eastern Suburbs
6 : 0 Southern United
18 Jan
Tasman United
5 : 0 Southern United
11 Jan
Wellington Phoenix 2
1 : 1 Southern United
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Auckland City | 16 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 42:15 | 37 |
| 2 | Team Wellington | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 36:15 | 34 |
| 3 | Waitakere United | 16 | 8 | 3 | 5 | 35:32 | 27 |
| 4 | Eastern Suburbs | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 33:26 | 22 |
| 5 | Tasman United | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 27:26 | 20 |
| 6 | Hamilton | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 24:39 | 20 |
| 7 | Southern United | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 25:38 | 19 |
| 8 | Wellington Phoenix 2 | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 30:32 | 18 |
| 9 | Hawke s Bay | 16 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 32:44 | 15 |
| 10 | Canterbury | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 19:36 | 10 |
Promotion - Football Championship 2019/2020 (Play Offs)
