Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W

Scotland Scotland

SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 New Douglas Park, Hamilton
Hamilton W Logo

Hamilton W

2 - 3
FT
Aberdeen W Logo

Aberdeen W

Our Tip

Match Events

7' Event
Ogilvie F.
Assist: Selbie M.
57' Event
Muir C.
Assist: Davie A.
74' Event
Selbie M.
Assist: Thomson E.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 game between Hamilton W and Aberdeen W finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Aberdeen W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hamilton W
15%
Draws
0%
Aberdeen W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamilton W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Aberdeen W come out ahead of Hamilton W on wins alone.
  • Hamilton W are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 25%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 65.8%
Hamilton W Clean Sheet 10%
Aberdeen W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamilton W Aberdeen W
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 3 6
Draws 2 2
Losses 25 22
Goals Scored 0.77 1.23
Goals Conceded 4.03 2.5
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 26, 2026 SWPL Cup Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:1
May 10, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
4:0
Mar 22, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:3
Feb 1, 2026 SWPL 1 Women
Hamilton W vs Aberdeen W
2:2
Oct 12, 2025 SWPL 1 Women
Aberdeen W vs Hamilton W
5:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamilton W Compare

Top Goalscorer Muir C.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gray G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Aberdeen W Compare

Top Goalscorer Ogilvie F.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Selbie M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamilton W 83 / 100
Aberdeen W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamilton W Aberdeen W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamilton W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Aberdeen W let in goals in 87% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 4.20 goals.

Away concern: Aberdeen W has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hamilton W has registered 3 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamilton W VS Aberdeen W
1.63 Goals Scored 2
3 Goals Conceded 2
100% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 75%
50% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamilton W

(Home)
13 Sept
Motherwell W
2 : 0
Hamilton W
09 Aug
Montrose W
9 : 0
Hamilton W
05 Aug
Hamilton W
3 : 0
Livingston W
02 Aug
Renfrew W
0 : 8
Hamilton W
26 Jul
Hamilton W
2 : 1
Aberdeen W
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Aberdeen W

(Away)
27 Sept
Aberdeen W
0 : 2
Hibernian W
20 Sept
Rangers W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
06 Sept
Spartans W
3 : 1
Aberdeen W
30 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Partick W
23 Aug
Aberdeen W
0 : 3
Glasgow City W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
7 Motherwell W 24 8 3 13 35:52 27
8 Montrose W 24 8 3 13 33:60 27
9 Aberdeen W 24 5 3 16 30:59 18
10 Hamilton W 24 0 2 22 10:104 2
Relegation - SWPL 1 Women 2025/2026 (Relegation)