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Hammam-Lif vs Megrine Prediction & H2H Stats

Tunisia Tunisia

Ligue 2 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Mosrati Y.
28' Event
Mosrati Y.
53' Event
Mosrati Y.

AI Match Summary

Hammam-Lif in this Ligue 2 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 3-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hammam-Lif.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

20%
Hammam-Lif
35%
Draws
45%
Megrine
Draw rate projection: 35% Favored: Megrine

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Hammam-Lif have won more games recently than Megrine.
  • Win probability leans Hammam-Lif's way, sitting at 36%.
  • Regular Ligue 2 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 63%
Hammam-Lif Clean Sheet 20%
Megrine Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammam-Lif Megrine
Matches Played 31 29
Wins 15 8
Draws 6 9
Losses 10 12
Goals Scored 1.13 0.93
Goals Conceded 0.55 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.20 1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs Megrine
3:0
Nov 15, 2025 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Hammam-Lif
0:1
Apr 30, 2025 Ligue 2
Hammam-Lif vs Megrine
0:0
Dec 13, 2024 Ligue 2
Megrine vs Hammam-Lif
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammam-Lif Compare

Top Goalscorer Mosrati Y.
3 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.92
Avg xA / game 0.6

Megrine Compare

Avg xG / game 0.91
Avg xA / game 0.56

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammam-Lif 36 / 100
Megrine 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammam-Lif Megrine

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Megrine conceded in 79% of 29 recent games.

Attacking prowess: Hammam-Lif scored in 32% of their last 31 outings.

H2H data points to 1.25 goals as a typical output.

Hammam-Lif has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hammam-Lif VS Megrine
1.38 Goals Scored 1
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
63% Over 1.5 75%
38% Over 2.5 38%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammam-Lif

(Home)
20 Sept
Ben Guerdane
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
13 Sept
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
Esperance Tunis
05 Sept
PS Sakiet Eddaier
1 : 0
Hammam-Lif
30 Aug
Hammam-Lif
0 : 1
CA Bizertin
30 May
Hammam-Lif
3 : 0
Stade Gabesien
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Megrine

(Away)
26 Sept
AS Gabes
1 : 2
Megrine
11 May
Bousalem
2 : 2
Megrine
01 May
Megrine
1 : 1
BS Bouhajla
27 Apr
Sporting Ben Arous
1 : 1
Megrine
18 Apr
Megrine
0 : 0
EM Mahdia
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hamam-Sousse 26 15 6 5 40:19 51
2 Hammam-Lif 26 15 6 5 36:14 51
3 US Tataouine 26 15 6 5 34:16 51
4 Sfax Railways 26 13 7 6 35:26 46
5 Sporting Ben Arous 26 8 10 8 30:19 34
6 Kerkennah 26 8 10 8 27:27 34
7 Chebba 26 8 9 9 33:37 33
8 Msaken 26 7 10 9 23:28 31
9 BS Bouhajla 26 7 9 10 21:23 30
10 Megrine 26 7 9 10 25:35 30
11 EM Mahdia 26 6 10 10 18:25 28
12 AS Agareb 26 7 7 12 22:33 28
13 Bousalem 26 6 7 13 19:34 25
14 Menzel Bourguiba 26 3 8 15 15:42 17
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 PS Sakiet Eddaier 26 16 8 2 54:15 56
2 Stade Gabesien 26 15 8 3 43:16 53
3 Kasserine 26 14 5 7 31:18 47
4 Jendouba Sport 26 9 11 6 34:24 38
5 Korba 26 9 10 7 21:20 37
6 Bouchamma 26 9 8 9 35:30 35
7 Gafsa 26 9 7 10 28:31 34
8 Ariana 26 8 8 10 26:32 32
9 Ksour Essef 26 9 5 12 40:34 32
10 Redeyef 26 8 8 10 27:39 32
11 Kalaa 26 9 3 14 28:44 30
12 Moknine 26 7 8 11 29:36 29
13 Djelma 26 6 8 12 16:33 26
14 Sidi Bouzid 26 3 5 18 17:57 14
Promotion - Ligue Professionnelle 1 (Main)
Promotion - Ligue 2 2025/2026 (Promotion - Play Offs)