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Hammarby U19 vs Ajax U19 - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Europe Europe

UEFA Youth League 2017/2018 Stockholms Olympiastadion, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

35'
Sub
Bengtsson L. In: Jarret-Marston K.
Out: Bengtsson L.
51' Event
Ekkelenkamp J.
53' Event
Ekkelenkamp J.
Assist: Ylatupa S.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 0-4, with Ajax U19 advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hammarby U19
20%
Draws
57%
Ajax U19
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Ajax U19

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Ajax U19 carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Ajax U19 a 57% chance of winning this.
  • Ajax U19 arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Ajax U19, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 41.2%
Hammarby U19 Clean Sheet 10%
Ajax U19 Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby U19 Ajax U19
Matches Played 16 31
Wins 4 15
Draws 2 2
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.88 2.74
Goals Conceded 2.88 1.97
Expected Goals (xG) 1.60 1.99
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 17, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Ajax U19 vs Hammarby U19
2:0
Sep 26, 2017 UEFA Youth League
Hammarby U19 vs Ajax U19
0:4

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby U19 Compare

Avg xG / game 1.23
Avg xA / game 0.8

Ajax U19 Compare

Top Goalscorer Ekkelenkamp J.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Nunnely C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.81
Avg xA / game 1.11

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby U19 10 / 100
Ajax U19 95 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby U19 Ajax U19

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax U19 Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:3
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Ajax U19 let in goals in 84% of their last 31 matches.

Attacking prowess: Hammarby U19 scored in 75% of their last 16 outings.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Hammarby U19 has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

- VS Ajax U19
0 Goals Scored 2.88
0 Goals Conceded 2
0% Over 1.5 100%
0% Over 2.5 100%
0% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby U19

(Home)
17 Feb
Hammarby TFF
7 : 2
Hammarby U19
04 Dec
Odds BK U19
1 : 6
Hammarby U19
02 Dec
Hammarby U19
2 : 2
Silkeborg U19
29 Nov
Norrkoping U19
6 : 0
Hammarby U19
20 Oct
Hammarby U19
1 : 2
Rangers U19
Page 1 of 4

Ajax U19

(Away)
19 Sept
PSV U19
3 : 2
Ajax U19
15 Sept
Ajax U19
2 : 1
AZ Alkmaar U19
12 Sept
De Graafschap U19
1 : 1
Ajax U19
05 Sept
Ajax U19
4 : 3
Nijmegen U19
29 Aug
Sparta Rotterdam U19
1 : 2
Ajax U19
Page 1 of 7

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Semi-finals
Zimbru Chisinau U19 7
Vllaznia U19 3
UC Dublin U19 3
Molde U19 4
Din. Bucuresti U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 4
Ludogorets U19 3
Zeljeznicar U19 4
Inter U19 5
Dynamo Kyiv U19 2
Esbjerg U19 4
KaPa U19 2
Legia U19 3
Breidablik U19 1
Hammarby U19 0
Ajax U19 6
Brodarac U19 2
Maccabi Haifa U19 1
Bursaspor U19 1
Saburtalo Tbilisi U19 2
FK Liepaja U19 2
Shakhtyor Soligorsk U19 4
Nitra U19 2
Shkendija Tetovo U19 1
Kairat Almaty U19 2
Krasnodar U19 11
Sutjeska U19 2
Honved U19 3
Dudelange U19 1
Sparta Prague U19 7
Bordeaux U19 0
Salzburg U19 5
Final
Zimbru Chisinau U19 0
Molde U19 2
Lok. Zagreb U19 1
Zeljeznicar U19 1
Inter U19 10
Esbjerg U19 1
Legia U19 3
Ajax U19 4
Brodarac U19 3
Saburtalo Tbilisi U19 3
Shakhtyor Soligorsk U19 2
Nitra U19 3
Krasnodar U19 9
Honved U19 1
Sparta Prague U19 2
Salzburg U19 6