Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hammarby vs Djurgarden

Sweden Sweden

Svenska Cupen 2025/2026 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

5'
Larsson M.
38'
Une J.
61'
Karlsson M.

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Hammarby advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hammarby
15%
Draws
36%
Djurgarden
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

49% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammarby and Djurgarden have been evenly matched lately, statistically speaking.
  • Model gives Hammarby a 49% chance of winning this.
  • Both sides arrive with similar form. In a knockout tie, that makes this genuinely unpredictable.
  • Historical meetings favor Hammarby, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%
Djurgarden Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Djurgarden
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 6 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 2.14 2.14
Goals Conceded 1.04 1.11
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.06
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 26, 2026 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Hammarby
1:1
Mar 15, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Hammarby vs Djurgarden
1:0
Sep 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Djurgarden vs Hammarby
3:3
Apr 13, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Djurgarden
2:0
Oct 21, 2024 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Djurgarden
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby Compare

Top Goalscorer Abraham P.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Djurgarden Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.59

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 40 / 100
Djurgarden 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Djurgarden

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby found the back of the net in 86% of recent matches (28 games).

Djurgarden's defensive record shows goals conceded in 64% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.60 goals as a typical output.

Hammarby went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Djurgarden
1.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.5
75% Over 1.5 38%
50% Over 2.5 38%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
26 Aug
FC Stockholm Internazionale
0 : 3
Hammarby
23 Aug
Hammarby
2 : 0
GAIS
16 Aug
Kalmar
0 : 4
Hammarby
13 Aug
Hammarby
0 : 1
Rakow Czestochowa
09 Aug
Hammarby
3 : 0
Hacken
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Djurgarden

(Away)
24 Aug
Malmo FF
0 : 3
Djurgarden
16 Aug
Djurgarden
1 : 3
AIK
10 Aug
Vasteras SK
1 : 0
Djurgarden
03 Aug
Djurgarden
6 : 0
Vasteras SK
25 Jul
Degerfors
0 : 1
Djurgarden
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Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Mjallby 4
Malmo FF 0
GAIS 3
AIK 2
Hammarby 1
Djurgarden 0
Sirius 1
IFK Goteborg 0
Semi-finals
Mjallby 3
GAIS 0
Hammarby 4
Sirius 3
Final
Mjallby 2
Hammarby 1