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Hammarby vs Sirius - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan 3Arena, Stockholm
Thu, Oct 29, 2026
VS
05:30 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hammarby host Sirius in the Allsvenskan. This shapes up as a tight, low-scoring affair. Recent numbers: Hammarby at 1.87 goals for, 0.94 against; Sirius at 2.11 for, 1.18 against. Head-to-head, Hammarby have won 3 to Sirius's 2, with 0 draws. They last met on Apr 13, 2026, ending 2:0. Model xG sits at 1.00 vs 0.94, favoring Sirius. AI goal market prediction: Over 2.5, BTTS: GG.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hammarby
20%
Draws
38%
Sirius
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hammarby

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Sirius lately — more wins on the board than Hammarby.
  • Hammarby are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Regular Allsvenskan form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 12.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 6%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hammarby Clean Sheet 20%
Sirius Clean Sheet 15%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby Sirius
Matches Played 31 28
Wins 16 18
Draws 6 6
Losses 9 4
Goals Scored 1.87 2.11
Goals Conceded 0.94 1.18
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 13, 2026 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Hammarby
2:0
Mar 22, 2026 Svenska Cupen
Hammarby vs Sirius
4:3
Aug 24, 2025 Allsvenskan
Sirius vs Hammarby
3:1
May 14, 2025 Allsvenskan
Hammarby vs Sirius
3:2
Mar 14, 2025 Club Friendly
Hammarby vs Sirius
4:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby 40 / 100
Sirius 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby Sirius

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby scored in 84% of their last 31 games.

H2H data points to 4.40 goals as a typical output.

Sirius's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 28 matches.

Solid form: Hammarby remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby VS Sirius
1.63 Goals Scored 1.13
0.75 Goals Conceded 0.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 13%
25% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby

(Home)
18 Oct
Halmstad
0 : 1
Hammarby
11 Oct
Hammarby
0 : 1
Djurgarden
03 Oct
Hammarby
1 : 0
Vasteras SK
20 Sept
Degerfors
0 : 1
Hammarby
13 Sept
Hammarby
3 : 1
Brommapojkarna
Page 1 of 7

Sirius

(Away)
18 Oct
Sirius
2 : 2
Elfsborg
10 Oct
GAIS
0 : 1
Sirius
02 Oct
Brondby
1 : 1
Sirius
19 Sept
Orgryte
1 : 2
Sirius
14 Sept
Sirius
2 : 0
Degerfors
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Sirius 24 17 4 3 55:30 55
2 Djurgarden 24 15 2 7 50:21 47
3 Hammarby 24 14 4 6 50:21 46
4 Hacken 24 11 9 4 43:30 42
5 Elfsborg 24 11 8 5 37:24 41
6 Vasteras SK 24 11 5 8 35:36 38
7 Malmo FF 24 11 3 10 38:34 36
8 IFK Goteborg 24 10 6 8 34:43 36
9 AIK 24 9 7 8 38:42 34
10 GAIS 24 8 6 10 30:25 30
11 Brommapojkarna 24 8 6 10 36:43 30
12 Mjallby 24 5 8 11 28:40 23
13 Kalmar 24 6 4 14 23:38 22
14 Degerfors 24 5 5 14 21:37 20
15 Orgryte 24 4 6 14 29:54 18
16 Halmstad 24 3 5 16 16:45 14
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Allsvenskan (Relegation)
Relegation - Superettan 2027 (Main)