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Hammarby W vs Ajax W Prediction & H2H Stats

Europe Europe

UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 3Arena, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Smits J.
Assist: Tolhoek D.
60' Event
Miyagawa A.
Assist: Lennartsson S.
64'
Sub
Colin I. In: van Hensbergen J.
Out: Colin I.

AI Match Summary

Hammarby W in this UEFA Europa Cup Women 2025/2026 tie, finishing 3-1. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

49%
Hammarby W
15%
Draws
36%
Ajax W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hammarby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

36% / Low Confidence
  • Ajax W haven't matched Hammarby W's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Ajax W a 36% chance of winning this.
  • Hammarby W have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hammarby W, who have won 1 of the last 2 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 37.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.2%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 12%
Ajax W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby W Ajax W
Matches Played 28 30
Wins 20 18
Draws 2 5
Losses 6 7
Goals Scored 2.32 2
Goals Conceded 0.68 0.9
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Nov 20, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Hammarby W vs Ajax W
3:1
Nov 12, 2025 UEFA Europa Cup Women
Ajax W vs Hammarby W
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Miyagawa A.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Holmberg S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Ajax W Compare

Top Goalscorer Smits J.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.59
Avg xA / game 0.97

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby W 27 / 100
Ajax W 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby W Ajax W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Ajax W Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby W's goal record stands at 93% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 4.00 goals as a typical output.

Hammarby W has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Ajax W let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby W VS Ajax W
2.5 Goals Scored 3
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.13
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby W

(Home)
30 Sept
Rangers W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
26 Sept
Hammarby W
3 : 0
Eskilstuna United W
23 Sept
Hammarby W
2 : 0
Rangers W
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
13 Sept
Vaxjo DFF W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
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Ajax W

(Away)
30 Sept
Aktobe W
1 : 0
Ajax W
26 Sept
Ajax W
7 : 1
Den Haag W
23 Sept
Ajax W
8 : 0
Aktobe W
19 Sept
Ajax W
5 : 1
AZ Alkmaar W
13 Sept
Heerenveen W
3 : 1
Ajax W
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Sparta Prague W 4
Young Boys W 3
RSC Anderlecht W 1
Austria Vienna W 3
Glasgow City W 2
Sporting W 4
Ajax W 2
Hammarby W 6
PSV W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 5
Nordsjaelland W 5
ZNK Mura W 0
Hacken W 1
Inter W 0
Breidablik W 4
Fortuna Hjorring W 3
Quarter-finals
Sparta Prague W 3
Austria Vienna W 1
Sporting W 1
Hammarby W 2
Eintracht Frankfurt W 7
Nordsjaelland W 2
Hacken W 11
Breidablik W 1
Semi-finals
Sparta Prague W 2
Hammarby W 5
Eintracht Frankfurt W 1
Hacken W 3
Final
Hammarby W 2
Hacken W 4