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Hammarby W vs Pitea W - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Sweden Sweden

Allsvenskan Women Hammarby IP, Stockholm
Our Tip

Match Events

2' Event
Lennartsson S.
Assist: Janzen M.
13' Event
Koivisto V.
Assist: Sorum E.
17' Event
Nyhagen M.
Assist: Koivisto V.

AI Match Summary

The Allsvenskan Women game between Hammarby W and Pitea W finished 5-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hammarby W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

56%
Hammarby W
20%
Draws
24%
Pitea W
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hammarby W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

56% / Medium Confidence
  • Hammarby W carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hammarby W's way, sitting at 80%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hammarby W have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 44%
Over 4.5 Goals 20%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 28.8%
Hammarby W Clean Sheet 68%
Pitea W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hammarby W Pitea W
Matches Played 31 31
Wins 23 13
Draws 2 7
Losses 6 11
Goals Scored 2.32 1.65
Goals Conceded 0.61 1.19
Expected Goals (xG) 2.31 0.94
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 16, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Pitea W
5:0
Jun 25, 2026 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Hammarby W
1:1
Aug 16, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Pitea W vs Hammarby W
0:5
May 17, 2025 Allsvenskan Women
Hammarby W vs Pitea W
2:1
Mar 16, 2025 Svenska Cupen Women
Hammarby W vs Pitea W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hammarby W Compare

Top Goalscorer Lennartsson S.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Koivisto V.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16

Pitea W Compare

Avg xG / game 0.85
Avg xA / game 0.52

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hammarby W 86 / 100
Pitea W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hammarby W Pitea W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hammarby W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hammarby W's goal record stands at 94% scoring rate across 31 recent games.

These sides typically produce 3.80 goals when they meet.

Pitea W's defensive record shows goals conceded in 68% of 31 matches.

Hammarby W went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hammarby W VS Pitea W
2.75 Goals Scored 1.38
0.5 Goals Conceded 1.88
100% Over 1.5 75%
63% Over 2.5 50%
38% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hammarby W

(Home)
04 Oct
Hammarby W
2 : 0
IF Brommapojkarna W
30 Sept
Rangers W
0 : 3
Hammarby W
26 Sept
Hammarby W
3 : 0
Eskilstuna United W
23 Sept
Hammarby W
2 : 0
Rangers W
19 Sept
AIK W
2 : 1
Hammarby W
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Pitea W

(Away)
03 Oct
Pitea W
1 : 1
Norrkoping W
30 Sept
Sunnana W
0 : 6
Pitea W
27 Sept
Rosengard W
1 : 0
Pitea W
20 Sept
Kristianstad W
2 : 2
Pitea W
13 Sept
Pitea W
0 : 1
AIK W
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Hacken W 21 19 1 1 70:13 58
2 Hammarby W 21 17 2 2 51:10 53
3 Malmo FF W 21 11 6 4 40:14 39
4 AIK W 21 10 4 7 30:29 34
5 Kristianstad W 21 9 5 7 35:32 32
6 Vittsjo W 21 9 5 7 29:26 32
7 IF Brommapojkarna W 21 9 2 10 28:36 29
8 Eskilstuna United W 21 8 3 10 18:27 27
9 Pitea W 21 6 6 9 24:30 24
10 Djurgarden W 21 7 3 11 27:34 24
11 Rosengard W 21 5 5 11 21:26 20
12 Vaxjo DFF W 21 5 3 13 23:42 18
13 Norrkoping W 21 3 8 10 18:36 17
14 IK Uppsala Fotboll W 21 1 3 17 14:73 6
Relegation - Allsvenskan Women (Relegation - Play Offs)
Relegation - Elitettan Women 2027 (Main)