Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamrarnir vs Samherjar

Iceland Iceland

Icelandic Cup 2022
Sat, Apr 9, 2022
3 - 6
12:00 PM
Our Tip

Match Events

5' Event
Thorvaldsson J.
26' Event
Haflidason B.
36' Event
Haflidason B.

AI Match Summary

Samherjar in this Icelandic Cup 2022 tie, finishing 3-6. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Hamrarnir
15%
Draws
42%
Samherjar
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hamrarnir

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

42% / Low Confidence
  • Hamrarnir haven't matched Samherjar's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Samherjar taking it.
  • Samherjar arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Samherjar, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 100%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 100%
Over 3.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 39%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hamrarnir Clean Sheet 10%
Samherjar Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrarnir Samherjar
Matches Played 8 8
Wins 1 2
Draws 0 0
Losses 7 6
Goals Scored 1.25 1.38
Goals Conceded 7.25 4.5
Expected Goals (xG) 2.88 4.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 9, 2022 Icelandic Cup
Hamrarnir vs Samherjar
3:6

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrarnir Compare

Top Goalscorer Hafsteinsson F.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Thorvaldsson J.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.22
Avg xA / game 1.44

Samherjar Compare

Top Goalscorer Haflidason B.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Gunnarsson K.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 3.64
Avg xA / game 2.22

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrarnir 10 / 100
Samherjar 83 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrarnir Samherjar

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Samherjar Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Samherjar's defensive record shows goals conceded in 88% of 8 matches.

Historical meetings average 9.00 goals per match.

Attacking prowess: Hamrarnir scored in 63% of their last 8 outings.

Samherjar lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamrarnir VS Samherjar
1.25 Goals Scored 1.38
7.25 Goals Conceded 4.5
100% Over 1.5 100%
100% Over 2.5 100%
100% Over 3.5 75%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrarnir

(Home)
01 Apr
Hamrarnir
2 : 7
Tindastoll
09 Apr
Hamrarnir
3 : 6
Samherjar
01 May
Volsungur
9 : 1
Hamrarnir
24 Apr
Kormakur/Hvot
2 : 3
Hamrarnir
30 Apr
Magni
15 : 0
Hamrarnir
Page 1 of 2

Samherjar

(Away)
05 Apr
Tindastoll
7 : 0
Samherjar
01 Apr
Magni
4 : 0
Samherjar
22 Apr
Thor Akureyri
7 : 0
Samherjar
09 Apr
Hamrarnir
3 : 6
Samherjar
24 Apr
Dalvik/Reynir
7 : 1
Samherjar
Page 1 of 2

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/64-finals
KFK Kopavogur 0
Throttur 1
TBD -
Kopavogur -
Grotta 8
KH Hlidarendi 0
Hafnir 0
KM Reykjavik 1
Volsungur -
TBD -
Kormakur/Hvot 0
Dalvik/Reynir 3
Thor Akureyri -
TBD -
Hamrarnir 3
Samherjar 6
Sindri 6
Spyrnir 0
TBD -
KFA -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 1
KFR 0
Isbjorninn 1
Selfoss 9
Tindastoll 0
Fjallabyggd 4
TBD -
Magni -
KA Asvellir 4
KB Breidholt 0
Haukar 4
Lettir 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Njardvik 2
Fjolnir 1
KFG Gardabaer 4
Augnablik 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Stokkseyri 0
Hviti 11
RB Keflavik 10
Gullfalkinn 4
Kordrengir 8
IH Hafnarfjordur 1
Hordur Isafjordur 1
Alftanes 5
Vestri -
TBD -
Vidir 6
SR Reykjavik 0
Afturelding 5
Ymir 0
Vaengirs 7
Alafoss 0
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kari 3
Arborg 0
Berserkir / Midas 0
Olafsvik 6
GG Grindavik 1
KV Reykjavik 4
Ellidi 0
Grindavik 6
Reynir Hellissandur 5
Skallagrimur 1
Throttur Vogar 0
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Kria 5
IBU 8
Reynir 6
Arbaer 1
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn -
TBD -
Boltafelag Nordfjardar 0
Einherji 2
KFB 0
Aegir 15
Smari 2
KFS 4
Fylkir -
TBD -
Afrika Reykjavik 0
Ulfarnir 5
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/32-finals
Throttur 0
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 12
KM Reykjavik 0
Volsungur 2
Dalvik/Reynir 5
Thor Akureyri 7
Samherjar 0
Sindri 2
KFA 0
TBD -
Akranes -
Breidablik -
TBD -
TBD -
Valur -
Hamar 0
Selfoss 2
Fjallabyggd 0
Magni 2
KA Asvellir 0
Haukar 5
TBD -
Vikingur Reykjavik -
Keflavik -
TBD -
Njardvik 5
KFG Gardabaer 2
Stjarnan -
TBD -
TBD -
KR Reykjavik -
Hviti 6
RB Keflavik 0
Kordrengir 5
Alftanes 0
Vestri 2
Vidir 0
Afturelding 3
Vaengirs 1
Hafnarfjordur -
TBD -
Kari 2
Olafsvik 1
KV Reykjavik 2
Grindavik 3
Reynir Hellissandur 0
IR Reykjavik 16
KA Akureyri -
TBD -
IBU 0
Reynir 4
Fram -
TBD -
TBD -
Leiknir Reykjavik -
Hottur / Huginn 3
Einherji 2
Aegir 1
KFS 0
Fylkir 5
Ulfarnir 0
TBD -
IBV Vestmannaeyjar -
1/16-finals
Kopavogur 3
Grotta 1
Dalvik/Reynir 2
Thor Akureyri 0
Sindri 3
Akranes 5
Breidablik 6
Valur 2
Selfoss 2
Magni 1
Haukar 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 7
Keflavik 1
Njardvik 4
Stjarnan 0
KR Reykjavik 3
Hviti 0
Kordrengir 2
Vestri 2
Afturelding 3
Hafnarfjordur 3
Kari 0
Grindavik 1
IR Reykjavik 2
KA Akureyri 4
Reynir 1
Fram 3
Leiknir Reykjavik 2
Hottur / Huginn 1
Aegir 3
Fylkir 2
IBV Vestmannaeyjar 1
1/8-finals
Kopavogur 6
Dalvik/Reynir 0
Akranes 2
Breidablik 3
Selfoss 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 6
Njardvik 0
KR Reykjavik 1
Kordrengir 2
Afturelding 1
Hafnarfjordur 6
IR Reykjavik 1
KA Akureyri 4
Fram 1
Aegir 1
Fylkir 0
Quarter-finals
Kopavogur 0
Breidablik 1
Vikingur Reykjavik 5
KR Reykjavik 3
Kordrengir 2
Hafnarfjordur 4
KA Akureyri 3
Aegir 0
Semi-finals
Breidablik 0
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2
KA Akureyri 1
Final
Vikingur Reykjavik 3
Hafnarfjordur 2