Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamrun vs NSI Runavik

Europe Europe

Conference League Victor Tedesco Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

43' Event
Przybylski M.
Assist: Davidsen V.
46'
Sub
Bjornstad T. In: Eder
Out: Bjornstad T.
46'
Sub
Ipalibo J. In: Villela L.
Out: Ipalibo J.

AI Match Summary

The Conference League game between Hamrun and NSI Runavik finished 1-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward NSI Runavik.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hamrun
20%
Draws
38%
NSI Runavik
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • NSI Runavik carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Model gives Hamrun a 42% chance of winning this.
  • Continental football usually means sharper preparation from both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 73.8%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 10%
NSI Runavik Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun NSI Runavik
Matches Played 32 29
Wins 16 19
Draws 5 5
Losses 11 5
Goals Scored 1.67 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.67 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.33 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 16, 2026 Conference League
Hamrun vs NSI Runavik
1:2
Jul 9, 2026 Conference League
NSI Runavik vs Hamrun
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Coric A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.28
Avg xA / game 0.83

NSI Runavik Compare

Top Goalscorer Przybylski M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 40 / 100
NSI Runavik 36 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun NSI Runavik

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamrun found the back of the net in 84% of recent matches (32 games).

NSI Runavik let in goals in 69% of their last 29 matches.

Historical meetings average 2.50 goals per match.

Hamrun went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS NSI Runavik
1.67 Goals Scored 2.5
1.33 Goals Conceded 1.75
100% Over 1.5 88%
67% Over 2.5 75%
17% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Rijeka-
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Derry City-
Lugano-
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Dukagjini-
FCSB-
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FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
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Valletta-
Debrecen-
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Marsaxlokk0
Pyunik Yerevan4
IFK Goteborg-
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Caernarfon0
Levadia10
Varazdin-
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Jablonec-
Bravo-
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Europa FC0
Shkendija Tetovo6
Shelbourne-
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Kalju3
Linfield2
Zimbru Chisinau-
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Noah-
Aluminij-
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Dinamo Tirana4
FC Astana2
AF Elbasani1
BATE2
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Sion-
Motherwell-
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HB Torshavn-
Vllaznia2
Malisheva6
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Hibernian-
Paks-
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Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
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Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
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Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
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Ludogorets-
Bohemians2
St Josephs0
Connahs Q.2
FC Ballkani3
Vaduz-
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Mornar Bar2
Atletic Escaldes4
NSI Runavik3
Hamrun2
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Koper-
Partizan-
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UNA Strassen3
La Fiorita0
Basaksehir-
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FK Sarajevo2
Inter Turku3
HJK-
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Glentoran1
RFS4
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Decic1
FK Liepaja3
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Dila Gori3
Virtus2
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Universitatea Cluj-
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Brann-
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Mondorf2
Dinamo Tbilisi3
Petrovac2
Zalgiris5
Dun. Streda-
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Velez Mostar2
Milsami1
Vikingur3
Stjarnan5
Differdange1
Ilves3
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Din. Minsk2
Sileks1
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Braga-
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FC Copenhagen-
Penybont0
FC Santa Coloma4
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Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert4
Yelimay Semey3
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FC Hegelmann1
Paide Linnameeskond4
Zira FK6
Torpedo Kutaisi0
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Quarter-finals
Rijeka-
Derry City-
Lugano-
Dukagjini-
FCSB-
FK Auda Riga-
Rakow Czestochowa-
Valletta-
Debrecen-
Pyunik Yerevan-
IFK Goteborg-
Levadia-
Varazdin-
Jablonec-
Bravo-
Shkendija Tetovo-
Shelbourne-
Kalju-
Zimbru Chisinau-
Noah-
Aluminij-
Dinamo Tirana-
BATE-
Sion-
Motherwell-
HB Torshavn-
Malisheva-
Hibernian-
Paks-
Panathinaikos-
Vojvodina-
Ajax-
LNZ Cherkasy-
Gent-
Hapoel Tel Aviv-
Ludogorets-
Bohemians-
FC Ballkani-
Vaduz-
Atletic Escaldes-
NSI Runavik-
Koper-
Partizan-
UNA Strassen-
Basaksehir-
Inter Turku-
HJK-
Coleraine-
RFS-
Vestri-
FK Liepaja-
Austria Vienna-
GAIS-
Nordsjaelland-
Zilina-
GKS Katowice-
Dila Gori-
Apollon Limassol-
Universitatea Cluj-
Brann-
Valur-
Zrinjski-
Dinamo Tbilisi-
Zalgiris-
Dun. Streda-
Velez Mostar-
Stjarnan-
Ilves-
FK Panevezys-
Tobol-
Neftci Baku-
Din. Minsk-
Zeleznicar Pancevo-
Braga-
Polissya Zhytomyr-
FC Copenhagen-
FC Santa Coloma-
Rapid Vienna-
Alashkert-
CFR Cluj-
Paide Linnameeskond-
Zira FK-
Spartak Trnava-
CSKA 1948 Sofia-
AEK Larnaca-
Beitar Jerusalem-
Borac Banja Luka-
Petrocub Hincesti-
Bissen-
Gyor-
ML Vitebsk-
Sutjeska-
Flora-
TNS-
Floriana-
Drita-
Vardar-
Riga FC-
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