Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamrun vs Floriana

Malta Malta

Premier League Tony Bezzina Stadium, Paola
Hamrun Logo

Hamrun

1 - 1
FT
Floriana Logo

Floriana

Our Tip

Match Events

6'
Sub
Thioune S. In: Virano G.
Out: Thioune S.
17' Event
Caua de Aguiar Alves M.
23'
Sub
Jbira Y. In: Gudelj T.
Out: Jbira Y.
Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Premier League game between Hamrun and Floriana finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hamrun
20%
Draws
57%
Floriana
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Floriana

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Floriana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Floriana's way, sitting at 70%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.200000000000003%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 16%
Floriana Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun Floriana
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 13 17
Draws 6 7
Losses 10 6
Goals Scored 1.52 1.53
Goals Conceded 0.9 0.93
Expected Goals (xG) 1.06 1.44
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 29, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Floriana
1:1
Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Floriana vs Hamrun
1:4
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Floriana
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Floriana vs Hamrun
0:2
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Hamrun
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrun Compare

Top Goalscorer Caua de Aguiar Alves M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.82
Avg xA / game 0.53

Floriana Compare

Top Goalscorer Muric R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.31
Avg xA / game 0.8

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 15 / 100
Floriana 77 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun Floriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Floriana Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamrun scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Floriana has conceded goals in 57% of their last 30 outings.

Recent resilience: Hamrun stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS Floriana
1 Goals Scored 1.63
1.25 Goals Conceded 1.13
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrun

(Home)
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2
Mosta FC
16 Jul
Hamrun
1 : 2
NSI Runavik
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Floriana

(Away)
07 Sept
Floriana
0 : 2
Valletta
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
21 Aug
Floriana
2 : 0
Sliema
14 Aug
Birzebbuga
0 : 3
Floriana
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Floriana 4 3 1 0 10:2 10
2 Mosta FC 4 3 1 0 6:2 10
3 Valletta 4 3 0 1 10:4 9
4 Marsaxlokk 4 2 2 0 5:3 8
5 Balzan FC 4 2 1 1 7:4 7
6 Birkirkara 4 2 0 2 6:3 6
7 Sliema 4 2 0 2 4:6 6
8 Hibernians 4 1 1 2 3:4 4
9 Hamrun 4 1 1 2 3:5 4
10 Zabbar 4 1 1 2 5:7 4
11 Birzebbuga 4 0 0 4 1:9 0
12 Gzira 4 0 0 4 2:13 0
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)