Sport Picks

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Hamrun vs Floriana

Malta Malta

Premier League
Sat, Aug 29, 2026
VS
04:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hamrun host Floriana in the Premier League. Recent head-to-head results give a strong hint here. Floriana have shipped 0.75 goals a game lately, while Hamrun have conceded 1.38 and scored 1.75. Past meetings favor Hamrun slightly — 4-0-1 in wins/losses/draws. They last met on Apr 25, 2026, ending 1:4. Model xG sits at 1.25 vs 1.50, favoring Floriana. The model's pick is Home (1) to win or Over 2.5 goals.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Hamrun
33%
Draws
27%
Floriana
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Floriana carry the better recent record into this one.
  • Win probability leans Hamrun's way, sitting at 40%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
  • Hamrun have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 16%
Floriana Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun Floriana
Matches Played 30 29
Wins 14 18
Draws 5 7
Losses 11 4
Goals Scored 1.75 1.63
Goals Conceded 1.38 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 1.75 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 25, 2026 Premier League
Floriana vs Hamrun
1:4
Mar 1, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Floriana
1:1
Jan 7, 2026 Premier League
Floriana vs Hamrun
0:2
Oct 29, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Hamrun
1:3
May 5, 2025 Premier League
Floriana vs Hamrun
0:1

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 39 / 100
Floriana 27 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun Floriana

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAM Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hamrun scored in 83% of their last 30 games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Floriana's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.

Hamrun has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS Floriana
1.75 Goals Scored 1.63
1.38 Goals Conceded 0.75
88% Over 1.5 63%
75% Over 2.5 38%
25% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrun

(Home)
16 Jul
Hamrun
1 : 2
NSI Runavik
09 Jul
NSI Runavik
1 : 1
Hamrun
15 May
Valletta
0 : 2
Hamrun
09 May
Marsaxlokk
2 : 1
Hamrun
02 May
Valletta
2 : 1
Hamrun
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Floriana

(Away)
21 Jul
Floriana
1 : 1
Drita
14 Jul
Shamrock Rovers
5 : 1
Floriana
07 Jul
Floriana
2 : 0
Shamrock Rovers
16 May
Floriana
2 : 1
Marsaxlokk
09 May
Valletta
0 : 1
Floriana
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Birkirkara00000:00
2Marsaxlokk00000:00
3Hibernians00000:00
4Valletta00000:00
5Floriana00000:00
6Sliema00000:00
7Hamrun00000:00
8Balzan FC00000:00
9Mosta FC00000:00
10Birzebbuga00000:00
11Gzira00000:00
12Zabbar00000:00
Promotion - Premier League (First stage - Top 6)
Relegation - Premier League (First stage - Play Out)