Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hamrun vs Gzira

Malta Malta

Premier League 2025/2026 Ta'Qali National Stadium, Ta' Qali
Our Tip

Match Events

12'
Sub
Inzoudine Y. In: Eder
Out: Inzoudine Y.
23'
Riascos L.
38'
Ceter D.

AI Match Summary

The Premier League 2025/2026 game between Hamrun and Gzira finished 0-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Gzira.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

70%
Hamrun
20%
Draws
10%
Gzira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hamrun

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hamrun come out ahead of Gzira on wins alone.
  • Model gives Hamrun a 70% chance of winning this.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 6.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 3%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30.400000000000002%
Hamrun Clean Sheet 68%
Gzira Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hamrun Gzira
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 13 10
Draws 6 5
Losses 10 14
Goals Scored 1.52 1.03
Goals Conceded 0.9 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.81
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 15, 2026 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1
Feb 3, 2026 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
0:0
Sep 20, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:0
Mar 2, 2025 Premier League
Hamrun vs Gzira
0:1
Nov 7, 2024 Premier League
Gzira vs Hamrun
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hamrun Compare

Avg xG / game 1.15
Avg xA / game 0.75

Gzira Compare

Top Goalscorer Maxuell Samurai
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.74
Avg xA / game 0.45

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hamrun 95 / 100
Gzira 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hamrun Gzira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hamrun Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 3:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hamrun scored in 79% of their last 29 outings.

Defensive concern: Gzira conceded in 69% of 29 recent games.

Hamrun went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Gzira lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hamrun VS Gzira
1.13 Goals Scored 0.63
1 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 63%
0% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hamrun

(Home)
11 Sept
Birzebbuga
0 : 2
Hamrun
06 Sept
Zabbar
1 : 2
Hamrun
29 Aug
Hamrun
1 : 1
Floriana
22 Aug
Birkirkara
1 : 0
Hamrun
17 Aug
Hamrun
0 : 2
Mosta FC
Page 1 of 6

Gzira

(Away)
14 Sept
Gzira
0 : 0
Zabbar
02 Sept
Floriana
4 : 1
Gzira
29 Aug
Balzan FC
2 : 1
Gzira
23 Aug
Gzira
0 : 3
Valletta
17 Aug
Birkirkara
4 : 0
Gzira
Page 1 of 6