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Hang Sai vs Lun Lok

Macao Macao

Elite League 2025
Our Tip

Match Events

12' Event
Ka Kin C.
16' Event
Akwasi B.
35' Event
Wan T. I.

AI Match Summary

The Elite League 2025 game between Hang Sai and Lun Lok finished 7-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hang Sai.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

85%
Hang Sai
15%
Draws
0%
Lun Lok
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hang Sai

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

85% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hang Sai come out ahead of Lun Lok on wins alone.
  • Hang Sai are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Elite League 2025 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 89%).
  • These two have met 5 times recently and Hang Sai have taken 5 of them.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 89%
Over 3.5 Goals 25%
Over 4.5 Goals 11%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hang Sai Clean Sheet 14%
Lun Lok Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hang Sai Lun Lok
Matches Played 32 30
Wins 12 4
Draws 6 2
Losses 14 24
Goals Scored 2.84 1.1
Goals Conceded 2.22 5.23
Expected Goals (xG) 2.50 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 19, 2025 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Lun Lok
12:0
Jun 12, 2025 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Hang Sai
0:7
May 10, 2025 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Lun Lok
7:2
Jul 18, 2024 Elite League
Hang Sai vs Lun Lok
3:1
Jun 2, 2024 Elite League
Lun Lok vs Hang Sai
1:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hang Sai Compare

Top Goalscorer Clement A.
4 Goals
Assists Leader Ka Kin C.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.92
Avg xA / game 1.25

Lun Lok Compare

Top Goalscorer Wan T. I.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Wong U-Cheng
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hang Sai 84 / 100
Lun Lok 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hang Sai Lun Lok

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hang Sai Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Lun Lok let in goals in 93% of their last 30 matches.

These sides typically produce 7.60 goals when they meet.

Away concern: Lun Lok has suffered 5 losses in 5 recent matches.

Hang Sai's goal record stands at 78% scoring rate across 32 recent games.

Scoring Trends

Hang Sai VS Lun Lok
2 Goals Scored 0
2.25 Goals Conceded 3
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 100%
50% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hang Sai

(Home)
25 Jul
Benfica
4 : 5
Hang Sai
18 Jul
Artilheiros
4 : 4
Hang Sai
12 Jul
G. Universe
3 : 2
Hang Sai
05 Jul
University of Macau
1 : 7
Hang Sai
26 Jun
Hang Sai
2 : 5
Shao Jiang
Page 1 of 7

Lun Lok

(Away)
27 Jul
Chiba
3 : 0
Lun Lok
19 Jul
Hang Sai
12 : 0
Lun Lok
12 Jul
Lun Lok
1 : 2
Sporting Macau
06 Jul
Lun Lok
0 : 10
Gala
21 Jun
Lun Lok
1 : 9
Chiba
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Must IPO 9 7 2 0 39:5 23
2 Shao Jiang 9 7 1 1 44:6 22
3 University of Macau 9 6 1 2 25:10 19
4 Cheng Fung 9 5 4 0 18:7 19
5 Benfica 9 5 1 3 19:14 16
6 Chiba 9 3 1 5 19:26 10
7 Gala 9 2 3 4 17:18 9
8 Hang Sai 9 2 1 6 17:26 7
9 Lun Lok 9 1 0 8 10:40 3
10 Sporting Macau 9 0 0 9 1:57 0
Promotion - Elite League 2025 (Championship Group)
Relegation - Elite League 2025 (Relegation Group)