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Hanley Town vs Cleethorpes

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hanley Town play Cleethorpes in the FA Trophy 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hanley Town averaged 1.31 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. Cleethorpes averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.23 conceded. In past meetings, Hanley Town won 1, Cleethorpes won 0, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2023 ended 2:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.17 for Hanley Town and 1.18 for Cleethorpes. This points to a Hanley Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

41%
Hanley Town
29%
Draws
30%
Cleethorpes
Draw rate projection: 29% Favored: Hanley Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

74% / Medium Confidence
  • Hanley Town picked up more points recently compared to Cleethorpes.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.17 vs 1.18 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 56%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 79%
Over 2.5 Goals 56%
Over 3.5 Goals 34%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 56%
Hanley Town Clean Sheet 20%
Cleethorpes Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 71%
Second Half Goal 75%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanley Town Cleethorpes
Matches Played 26 30
Wins 10 9
Draws 5 11
Losses 11 10
Goals Scored 1.31 1.27
Goals Conceded 1.73 1.23

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Hanley Town vs Cleethorpes
2:0

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanley Town 41 / 100
Cleethorpes 29 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanley Town Cleethorpes

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hanley Town or Draw (1X)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Home Win (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +24.2%
3.03
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +12%
2.00
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hanley Town attacking → ← attacking Cleethorpes

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanley Town scored in 69% of their last 26 games.

Cleethorpes let in goals in 73% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hanley Town went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Cleethorpes lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

35 Points in last 5 38
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 1.25
0.00 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.13