Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hanover vs Downpatrick

Northern Ireland Northern Ireland

Irish Cup 2008/2009
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Downpatrick in this Irish Cup 2008/2009 tie, finishing 1-5. One-off knockout football delivers a decisive result.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

57%
Hanover
15%
Draws
28%
Downpatrick
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanover

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

57% / Medium Confidence
  • Hanover have won more games recently than Downpatrick.
  • Hanover are the model's pick here, at 40%.
  • Hanover have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Downpatrick, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 90%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 57.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 26%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hanover Clean Sheet 15%
Downpatrick Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanover Downpatrick
Matches Played 20 13
Wins 9 6
Draws 0 0
Losses 11 7
Goals Scored 1.95 1.77
Goals Conceded 2.55 1.92
Expected Goals (xG) 2.48 1.55
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 13, 2008 Irish Cup
Hanover vs Downpatrick
1:5

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanover 39 / 100
Downpatrick 26 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanover Downpatrick

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanover Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Downpatrick's defensive record shows goals conceded in 85% of 13 matches.

H2H data points to 6.00 goals as a typical output.

Hanover found the back of the net in 78% of recent matches (18 games).

Downpatrick lost 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanover VS Downpatrick
2.75 Goals Scored 0.6
2.5 Goals Conceded 2.2
100% Over 1.5 80%
75% Over 2.5 60%
75% Over 3.5 40%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanover

(Home)
22 Nov
Comber Rec
3 : 1
Hanover
05 Jul
Hanover
0 : 4
Portadown
04 Jan
Cliftonville
6 : 0
Hanover
30 Nov
Valley Rangers
1 : 5
Hanover
02 Nov
Hanover
3 : 2
Killyleagh Youth
Page 1 of 4

Downpatrick

(Away)
03 Oct
St. Marys
3 : 1
Downpatrick
09 Nov
Newry City
1 : 0
Downpatrick
19 Nov
Larne Technical Old Boys
2 : 0
Downpatrick
23 Oct
Downpatrick
0 : 4
Nortel
18 Sept
Downpatrick
2 : 1
Drumaness
Page 1 of 3

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/128-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 3
Ballymacash 1
Lisburn Rangers 0
Rathfriland Rangers 1
Fivemiletown -
TBD -
Harland & Wolff 1
Warrenpoint 2
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Raceview 2
Donard 1
Sport & Leisure 0
Dromara 3
Kilmore Rec 3
East Belfast 1
Markethill 2
U. U. Coleraine 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians -
TBD -
Portadown BBOB 0
Tandragee 7
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Oxford Stars -
TBD -
TBD -
Lurgan Celtic -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth -
TBD -
TBD -
Lower Maze -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 3
Desertmartin 0
TBD -
Brantwood -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 5
Chimney 0
TBD -
Newington FC -
PSNI -
TBD -
TBD -
Foundry -
Churchill -
TBD -
Seagoe 1
Newcastle 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Downshire Y.M. 2
Bangor Old Boys 1
Dunmurry Y.M. 4
Ards Rangers -
TBD -
Lurgan Town Boys 2
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Barn 0
TBD -
Knockbreda -
Moyola 3
Laurelvale 2
TBD -
Hanover -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 2
Holywood 1
Sirocco 2
Bryansburn 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 3
Comber Rec 2
Bloomfield 1
Grove 4
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Saintfield -
TBD -
Wakehurst 0
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Ballynure Old Boys 1
TBD -
Abbey Villa -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Strabane FC -
TBD -
TBD -
Dollingstown -
Nortel -
TBD -
Magherafelt 0
Draperstown 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 6
Roe Valley 1
Oxford Sunnyside 1
Dungiven 2
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dunaghy -
TBD -
Crewe 2
Crumlin United 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/64-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Annagh 5
Rathfriland Rangers 0
Fivemiletown 1
Warrenpoint 3
Ballinamallard -
TBD -
Raceview 3
Dromara 4
Kilmore Rec 3
U. U. Coleraine 1
TBD -
Donegal -
Coleraine -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Malachians 2
Tandragee 1
TBD -
Ards -
Limavady -
TBD -
Oxford Stars 0
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Armagh -
TBD -
TBD -
Banbridge -
Killyleagh Youth 2
Lower Maze 0
TBD -
Killymoon -
Queens University 2
Brantwood 1
TBD -
Tobermore -
Glenavon -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Glebe -
TBD -
Rosario Youth 2
Newington FC 4
PSNI 4
Foundry 3
Churchill 3
Newcastle 6
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 3
Dunmurry Y.M. 2
Ards Rangers 3
Islandmagee 4
Downpatrick 4
Knockbreda 2
Moyola 1
Hanover 3
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Drumaness 4
Bryansburn 1
TBD -
Carrick Rangers -
Portstewart 1
Grove 0
TBD -
Coagh Utd -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown -
TBD -
Saintfield 0
Dundela 5
Dunmurry Rec 1
Abbey Villa 0
TBD -
Dergview -
Larne -
TBD -
Strabane FC 2
Dollingstown 6
Nortel 5
Draperstown 3
TBD -
Loughgall -
Ballymena -
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Newbuildings 3
Dungiven 2
TBD -
Ballyclare -
Ballymoney -
TBD -
Dunaghy 0
Crumlin United 9
TBD -
TBD -
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/32-finals
Cliftonville -
TBD -
Annagh 0
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 3
Dromara 1
Kilmore Rec 0
Donegal 3
Coleraine -
TBD -
Malachians 1
Ards 2
Limavady 5
Lurgan Celtic 1
TBD -
Glentoran -
Lisburn Distillery -
TBD -
Armagh 0
Banbridge 2
Killyleagh Youth 2
Killymoon 0
Queens University 2
Tobermore 3
Glenavon -
TBD -
Glebe 0
Newington FC 2
PSNI 6
Newcastle 3
TBD -
Linfield -
Institute -
TBD -
Wellington Rec 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 5
Hanover 1
TBD -
Dungannon -
Bangor FC -
TBD -
Drumaness 0
Carrick Rangers 5
Portstewart 3
Coagh Utd 2
TBD -
Newry City -
Portadown 5
Dundela 2
Dunmurry Rec 2
Dergview 3
Larne 3
Dollingstown 1
Nortel 0
Loughgall 5
Ballymena -
TBD -
Newbuildings 1
Ballyclare 4
Ballymoney 2
Crumlin United 0
TBD -
Crusaders -
1/16-finals
Cliftonville 3
Warrenpoint 1
Ballinamallard 0
Donegal 1
Coleraine 3
Ards 0
Limavady 0
Glentoran 3
Lisburn Distillery 3
Banbridge 0
Killyleagh Youth 1
Tobermore 4
Glenavon 3
Newington FC 1
PSNI 0
Linfield 3
Institute 0
Islandmagee 3
Downpatrick 2
Dungannon 7
Bangor FC 6
Carrick Rangers 2
Portstewart 0
Newry City 8
Portadown 8
Dergview 1
Larne 3
Loughgall 1
Ballymena 2
Ballyclare 0
Ballymoney 0
Crusaders 1
1/8-finals
Cliftonville 2
Donegal 0
Coleraine 1
Glentoran 2
Lisburn Distillery 1
Tobermore 0
Glenavon 1
Linfield 3
Institute 1
Dungannon 0
Bangor FC 0
Newry City 1
Portadown 5
Loughgall 0
Ballymena 0
Crusaders 1
Quarter-finals
Cliftonville 1
Glentoran 0
Lisburn Distillery 0
Linfield 3
Institute 2
Newry City 1
Portadown 2
Crusaders 5
Semi-finals
Cliftonville 3
Linfield 2
Institute 1
Crusaders 4
Final
Cliftonville 0
Crusaders 1