Sport Picks
Match Events
26'
26'
Holten E.
29'
29'
Loder E.
40'
40'
Holten E.
Assist: Lebeau A.
AI Match Summary
Hansa Rostock in this 3. Liga 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 5-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hansa Rostock.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
64%
15%
21%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hansa Rostock
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
64%
/ High Confidence
- Form's been kind to Hansa Rostock lately — more wins on the board than Ulm.
- Win probability leans Hansa Rostock's way, sitting at 90%.
- Regular 3. Liga 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- These two have met 4 times recently and Hansa Rostock have taken 3 of them.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Hansa Rostock Clean Sheet 14%
Ulm Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hansa Rostock | Ulm |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 29 | 28 |
| Wins | 16 | 10 |
| Draws | 6 | 5 |
| Losses | 7 | 13 |
| Goals Scored | 2.52 | 1.54 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.45 | 1.86 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.00 | 1.63 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Apr 11, 2026 3. Liga
Hansa Rostock vs Ulm
5:1
Nov 8, 2025 3. Liga
Ulm vs Hansa Rostock
0:5
Feb 20, 2000 Bundesliga
Ulm vs Hansa Rostock
1:1
Sep 10, 1999 Bundesliga
Hansa Rostock vs Ulm
2:1
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hansa Rostock Compare
Top Goalscorer Holten E.
2 Goals Assists Leader Lebeau A.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 1
Ulm Compare
Top Goalscorer Loder E.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hansa Rostock 84 / 100
Ulm 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hansa Rostock Ulm
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hansa Rostock Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Defensive concern: Ulm conceded in 89% of 28 recent games.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Hansa Rostock found the back of the net in 79% of recent matches (29 games).
Hansa Rostock went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hansa Rostock VS Ulm
2.13 Goals Scored 1.88
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.88
88% Over 1.5 75%
88% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hansa Rostock
(Home) 09 Aug
Hoffenheim II
2 : 3 Hansa Rostock
02 Aug
Hansa Rostock
4 : 1 TSG Neustrelitz
01 Aug
Hansa Rostock
1 : 3 B. Monchengladbach
25 Jul
Watford
3 : 0 Hansa Rostock
15 Jul
Hansa Rostock
3 : 0 Greifswalder FC
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02 Aug
Hansa Rostock
4 : 1 TSG Neustrelitz
01 Aug
Hansa Rostock
1 : 3 B. Monchengladbach
15 Jul
Hansa Rostock
3 : 0 Greifswalder FC
11 Jul
Hansa Rostock
2 : 2 Hvidovre IF
09 May
Hansa Rostock
5 : 3 VfB Stuttgart II
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Ulm
(Away) 14 Aug
Ulm
0 : 2 Kickers Offenbach
07 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
4 : 2 Ulm
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0 Ulm
25 Jul
Ulm
0 : 4 VfB Stuttgart II
19 Jul
Ulm
3 : 1 Bayern II
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07 Aug
Stutt. Kickers
4 : 2 Ulm
01 Aug
Regensburg
1 : 0 Ulm
05 Jul
TSV Berg
1 : 4 Ulm
01 Jul
TSV Schwabmunchen
1 : 3 Ulm
09 May
VfL Osnabruck
1 : 1 Ulm
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League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | VfL Osnabruck | 38 | 24 | 8 | 6 | 66:34 | 80 |
| 2 | Energie Cottbus | 38 | 21 | 9 | 8 | 72:51 | 72 |
| 3 | RW Essen | 38 | 20 | 10 | 8 | 78:66 | 70 |
| 4 | Duisburg | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 66:49 | 68 |
| 5 | Hansa Rostock | 38 | 18 | 13 | 7 | 74:49 | 67 |
| 6 | Verl | 38 | 18 | 10 | 10 | 82:48 | 64 |
| 7 | Alemannia Aachen | 38 | 19 | 7 | 12 | 76:57 | 64 |
| 8 | Munich 1860 | 38 | 15 | 11 | 12 | 54:53 | 56 |
| 9 | Wehen | 38 | 15 | 8 | 15 | 54:52 | 53 |
| 10 | Mannheim | 38 | 15 | 7 | 16 | 59:72 | 52 |
| 11 | FC Viktoria Koln | 38 | 15 | 6 | 17 | 51:53 | 51 |
| 12 | Ingolstadt | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 65:56 | 49 |
| 13 | Regensburg | 38 | 14 | 7 | 17 | 54:58 | 49 |
| 14 | VfB Stuttgart II | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 57:69 | 46 |
| 15 | Saarbrucken | 38 | 10 | 14 | 14 | 51:57 | 44 |
| 16 | Hoffenheim II | 38 | 12 | 7 | 19 | 65:71 | 43 |
| 17 | TSV Havelse | 38 | 9 | 8 | 21 | 57:89 | 35 |
| 18 | Aue | 38 | 7 | 13 | 18 | 51:70 | 34 |
| 19 | Ulm | 38 | 9 | 6 | 23 | 49:78 | 33 |
| 20 | 1. FC Schweinfurt | 38 | 5 | 6 | 27 | 38:87 | 21 |
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga (Main)
Promotion - 2. Bundesliga 2025/2026 (Relegation)
