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Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Hall W.
40' Event
Clark J.
(Penalty)
50' Event
Snee H.

AI Match Summary

The Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 game between Hanwell Town and Basingstoke finished 2-1, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hanwell Town.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hanwell Town
30%
Draws
39%
Basingstoke
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Basingstoke

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

30% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hanwell Town come out ahead of Basingstoke on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Hanwell Town's way, sitting at 36%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.2%
Hanwell Town Clean Sheet 19%
Basingstoke Clean Sheet 13%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanwell Town Basingstoke
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 11 8
Draws 8 9
Losses 11 13
Goals Scored 1.33 1.5
Goals Conceded 1.33 1.83
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Aug 11, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke
2:1
Jan 6, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Hanwell Town
3:2
Jan 25, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Basingstoke vs Hanwell Town
3:4
Oct 15, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Basingstoke
1:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanwell Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Hall W.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Snee H.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Basingstoke Compare

Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanwell Town 36 / 100
Basingstoke 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanwell Town Basingstoke

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Basingstoke's defensive record shows goals conceded in 83% of 30 matches.

Historical meetings average 4.20 goals per match.

Hanwell Town's goal record stands at 67% scoring rate across 30 recent games.

Solid form: Hanwell Town remains unbeaten in 2 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hanwell Town VS Basingstoke
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.63
50% Over 1.5 75%
25% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanwell Town

(Home)
12 Sept
Frome Town
2 : 2
Hanwell Town
04 Sept
Flackwell Heath
0 : 1
Hanwell Town
31 Aug
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 0
Hanwell Town
29 Aug
Hanwell Town
0 : 2
Chichester City
22 Aug
Gloucester City
1 : 0
Hanwell Town
Page 1 of 6

Basingstoke

(Away)
12 Sept
Gloucester City
1 : 1
Basingstoke
08 Sept
AFC Stoneham
1 : 0
Basingstoke
05 Sept
Basingstoke
0 : 0
AFC Stoneham
31 Aug
Basingstoke
2 : 1
Bracknell Town
29 Aug
Taunton Town
4 : 3
Basingstoke
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Walton & Hersham 42 29 5 8 94:42 92
2 Farnham 42 25 9 8 90:50 84
3 Gloucester City 42 25 7 10 93:51 82
4 Poole Town 42 21 12 9 80:50 75
5 Berkhamsted Town 42 21 9 12 62:50 72
6 Sholing 42 18 15 9 74:53 69
7 Chertsey Town 42 19 10 13 64:55 67
8 Gosport Borough 42 19 6 17 74:75 63
9 Uxbridge 42 15 14 13 74:70 59
10 Havant & Waterlooville 42 17 7 18 78:70 58
11 Plymouth Parkway 42 16 8 18 64:79 56
12 Bracknell Town 42 15 10 17 70:71 55
13 Yate 42 14 10 18 57:62 52
14 Hanwell Town 42 14 10 18 57:63 52
15 Wimborne 42 12 15 15 63:62 51
16 Taunton Town 42 14 9 19 65:70 51
17 Basingstoke 42 14 9 19 61:71 51
18 Evesham 42 11 14 17 51:62 47
19 Weymouth 42 13 8 21 53:71 47
20 Dorchester 42 9 13 20 48:79 40
21 Hungerford 42 9 11 22 47:87 38
22 Tiverton 42 5 3 34 39:115 18
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)