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Hanwell Town vs Havant & Waterlooville

England England

Southern League Premier South 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

22' Event
Oudnie-Morgan R.
45' Event
Woodcock C.
77'
Thorpe H.

AI Match Summary

Neither side could be separated in this Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 matchup, with the score ending 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hanwell Town
30%
Draws
34%
Havant & Waterlooville
Draw rate projection: 30% Favored: Hanwell Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

66% / Medium Confidence
  • Havant & Waterlooville have won more games recently than Hanwell Town.
  • 36% — that's where the model lands on Hanwell Town taking it.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75%
Hanwell Town Clean Sheet 14%
Havant & Waterlooville Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanwell Town Havant & Waterlooville
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 9 14
Draws 7 5
Losses 13 10
Goals Scored 1.25 2.13
Goals Conceded 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 14, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
1:1
Oct 22, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanwell Town
2:3
Feb 15, 2025 Southern League Premier South
Hanwell Town vs Havant & Waterlooville
2:2
Oct 23, 2024 Southern League Premier South
Havant & Waterlooville vs Hanwell Town
5:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanwell Town Compare

Top Goalscorer Woodcock C.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Havant & Waterlooville Compare

Top Goalscorer Oudnie-Morgan R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanwell Town 35 / 100
Havant & Waterlooville 33 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanwell Town Havant & Waterlooville

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

H2H data points to 4.50 goals as a typical output.

Hanwell Town scored in 79% of their last 29 games.

Havant & Waterlooville has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

Hanwell Town went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanwell Town VS Havant & Waterlooville
1.25 Goals Scored 2.13
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
88% Over 1.5 88%
38% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 50%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanwell Town

(Home)
25 Apr
Hanwell Town
2 : 1
Basingstoke
18 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
2 : 0
Hanwell Town
16 Apr
Hanwell Town
1 : 1
Farnham
11 Apr
Hanwell Town
4 : 0
Weymouth
06 Apr
Uxbridge
2 : 0
Hanwell Town
Page 1 of 6

Havant & Waterlooville

(Away)
25 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
1 : 3
Yate
18 Apr
Poole Town
2 : 0
Havant & Waterlooville
11 Apr
Plymouth Parkway
3 : 3
Havant & Waterlooville
06 Apr
Havant & Waterlooville
4 : 0
Gosport Borough
03 Apr
Hungerford
0 : 2
Havant & Waterlooville
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Walton & Hersham42295894:4292
2Farnham42259890:5084
3Gloucester City422571093:5182
4Poole Town422112980:5075
5Berkhamsted Town422191262:5072
6Sholing421815974:5369
7Chertsey Town4219101364:5567
8Gosport Borough421961774:7563
9Uxbridge4215141374:7059
10Havant & Waterlooville421771878:7058
11Plymouth Parkway421681864:7956
12Bracknell Town4215101770:7155
13Yate4214101857:6252
14Hanwell Town4214101857:6352
15Wimborne4212151563:6251
16Taunton Town421491965:7051
17Basingstoke421491961:7151
18Evesham4211141751:6247
19Weymouth421382153:7147
20Dorchester429132048:7940
21Hungerford429112247:8738
22Tiverton42533439:11518
Promotion - National League South (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South 2025/2026 (Play Offs)