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Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town

England England

FA Trophy 2023/2024
Sat, Sep 9, 2023
1 - 2
02:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hanworth Villa play Chertsey Town in the FA Trophy 2023/2024. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hanworth Villa averaged 2 goals scored and 1 conceded. Chertsey Town averaged 2.5 goals scored and 1.63 conceded. In past meetings, Hanworth Villa won 0, Chertsey Town won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Sep 9, 2023 ended 1:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.81 for Hanworth Villa and 1.75 for Chertsey Town. This points to a Chertsey Town double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

18%
Hanworth Villa
22%
Draws
60%
Chertsey Town
Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Chertsey Town

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence
  • Chertsey Town has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hanworth Villa.
  • Model forecasts a 60% win probability edge for Chertsey Town.
  • Cup tournament structure in FA Trophy 2023/2024 increases high-stakes performance focus.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 82%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 82%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 12%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanworth Villa Chertsey Town
Matches Played 27 31
Wins 9 17
Draws 6 6
Losses 12 8
Goals Scored 2 2.5
Goals Conceded 1 1.63
Expected Goals (xG) 2.00 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.00 1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town
1:2

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanworth Villa 19 / 100
Chertsey Town 56 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanworth Villa Chertsey Town

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick CHE Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hanworth Villa scored in 81% of their last 27 games.

Chertsey Town let in goals in 74% of their last 31 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Hanworth Villa went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Chertsey Town lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanworth Villa VS Chertsey Town
2 Goals Scored 2.5
1 Goals Conceded 1.63
100% Over 1.5 88%
100% Over 2.5 75%
0% Over 3.5 63%

Tournament Bracket & Draw

Quarter-finals
Avro2
Winterton Rangers1
Trafford1
Stalybridge2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Warrington Rylands-
Stockton3
Pontefract Collieries1
Bootle6
Consett2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bamber Bridge-
North Ferriby FC2
Ossett United1
Prescot Cables4
Bridlington Town0
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Atherton Collieries-
Bradford PA-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Liversedge0
Nantwich3
Dunston3
Ashington0
Lancaster-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
City Of Liverpool3
1874 Northwich1
Runcorn Linnets0
Witton Albion1
Hanley Town2
Cleethorpes0
Sheffield FC2
Spalding United1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Macclesfield-
Morpeth-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
United of Manchester-
Ashton United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Brighouse Town2
Hebburn Town1
Widnes FC0
Clitheroe1
Workington-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hyde-
Radcliffe-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Whitby-
Gainsborough-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Guiseley-
Worksop-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mossley AFC0
Vauxhall2
Newton Aycliffe1
Stocksbridge3
Marske United-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Marine-
Quorn4
Coventry Sphinx0
Bedworth United1
Leek Town5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Telford-
Long Eaton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stourbridge-
Stratford-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Basford Utd.-
Redditch-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Leamington-
Hinckley LR-
TBD-
Harborough2
Lye Town1
Biggleswade FC3
Stowmarket Town1
Hadley4
Ware1
Barwell-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Mickleover-
St Ives Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kettering-
Bromsgrove-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Halesowen-
Anstey Nomads2
Corby0
Loughborough Dynamo2
AFC Rushden & Diamonds1
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Alvechurch-
Royston Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coalville Town-
Sutton Coldfield Town0
Boldmere St Michaels2
Rugby1
Grantham Town5
Kings Langley1
Cambridge City2
Leighton Town3
Kempston1
Stafford-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Gresley0
Kidsgrove Athletic6
Sporting Khalsa1
Grimsby Borough0
Hitchin-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Stamford-
Matlock-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bowers & Pitsea3
Gorleston1
Aylesbury United2
Bedford3
Ilkeston-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Belper Town2
Newcastle Town0
Hednesford0
Walsall Wood3
Nuneaton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Coleshill Town1
Carlton Town5
Chasetown5
Shepshed1
Carshalton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Broadbridge Heath0
Cray Valley2
Corinthian-Casuals0
Hartley Wintney1
Hendon-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sudbury-
Westfield4
Littlehampton1
Raynes Park Vale0
Marlow1
Southall FC2
Chichester City1
Herne Bay1
Leatherhead6
Leiston-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hornchurch-
Walton & Hersham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Canvey Island-
Chesham-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Enfield Town-
Bognor Regis-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hayes & Yeading-
Horsham FC-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
AFC Dunstable-
East Thurrock Utd-
Wroxham2
Brightlingsea4
Harrow Borough-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Margate-
Cheshunt-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dulwich Hamlet-
Thame United0
Badshot Lea5
Merstham0
Sutton Common Rovers3
FC Witham Town3
Maldon & Tiptree0
Redbridge1
Stotfold0
Beaconsfield Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Phoenix Sports1
Metropolitan Police2
Ashford United7
Binfield1
Potters-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Berkhamsted Town-
Needham Market-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cray Wanderers-
Hanwell Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Bracknell Town-
Waltham Abbey6
Ipswich Wanderers2
Heybridge3
Barton2
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Chatham-
Lewes-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Welwyn Garden3
Basildon5
Lowestoft5
New Salamis FC3
South Park2
Erith & Belvedere1
Beckenham Town1
Three Bridges5
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hashtag-
Concord Rangers-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hanworth Villa1
Chertsey Town2
Burgess Hill1
Hythe3
Wingate & Finchley-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Biggleswade Town2
Bury Town3
Enfield FC-
Walthamstow FC-
Ramsgate3
Northwood0
Uxbridge1
Sevenoaks2
East Grinstead Town0
Sheppey United1
Sittingbourne2
Ashford Town1
Hastings-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kingstonian-
Billericay-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Felixstowe & Walton2
Brentwood0
Hertford Town3
Grays2
Whitehawk-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Horndean2
Ascot United3
Chipstead2
Lancing4
Folkestone-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Haringey Borough-
Didcot-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Cribbs3
Bideford2
Evesham1
Bashley2
Poole Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Sholing-
Basingstoke-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Kidlington2
North Leigh0
Exmouth Town4
Wimborne3
Bishops Cleeve6
Paulton Rovers1
Thatcham2
Bristol Manor Farm3
Westbury United2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC5
Frome Town3
Cirencester1
Swindon Supermarine-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Tiverton-
Hamworthy United3
Melksham0
Larkhall2
Willand Rovers0
Malvern Town2
Mousehole4
Yate0
Tavistock2
Gosport Borough-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Salisbury-
Merthyr Town-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Dorchester-
AFC Totton-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Plymouth Parkway-
Winchester City-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
TBD-
Hungerford-
Semi-finals
Avro1
Stalybridge0
TBD-
Warrington Rylands-
Stockton0
Bootle2
TBD-
Bamber Bridge-
North Ferriby FC3
Prescot Cables2
TBD-
Atherton Collieries-
Bradford PA-
TBD-
Nantwich2
Dunston1
Lancaster-
TBD-
City Of Liverpool2
Witton Albion1
Hanley Town2
Sheffield FC1
TBD-
Macclesfield-
Morpeth-
TBD-
TBD-
United of Manchester-
Ashton United-
TBD-
Brighouse Town3
Clitheroe2
Workington-
TBD-
TBD-
Hyde-
Radcliffe-
TBD-
TBD-
Whitby-
Gainsborough-
TBD-
TBD-
Guiseley-
Worksop-
TBD-
Vauxhall0
Stocksbridge1
Marske United-
TBD-
TBD-
Marine-
Quorn4
Leek Town2
TBD-
Telford-
Long Eaton-
TBD-
TBD-
Stourbridge-
Stratford-
TBD-
TBD-
Basford Utd.-
Redditch-
TBD-
TBD-
Leamington-
Hinckley LR0
Harborough1
Biggleswade FC2
Hadley1
Barwell-
TBD-
TBD-
Mickleover-
St Ives Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Kettering-
Bromsgrove-
TBD-
TBD-
Halesowen-
Anstey Nomads3
Loughborough Dynamo2
TBD-
Alvechurch-
Royston Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Coalville Town-
Boldmere St Michaels2
Grantham Town1
Cambridge City0
Leighton Town2
Stafford-
TBD-
Kidsgrove Athletic2
Sporting Khalsa4
Hitchin-
TBD-
TBD-
Stamford-
Matlock-
TBD-
Bowers & Pitsea0
Bedford1
Ilkeston-
TBD-
Belper Town1
Walsall Wood2
Nuneaton-
TBD-
Carlton Town2
Chasetown1
Carshalton-
TBD-
Cray Valley2
Hartley Wintney0
Hendon-
TBD-
TBD-
Sudbury-
Westfield2
Marlow1
Southall FC1
Leatherhead3
Leiston-
TBD-
TBD-
Hornchurch-
Walton & Hersham-
TBD-
TBD-
Canvey Island-
Chesham-
TBD-
TBD-
Enfield Town-
Bognor Regis-
TBD-
TBD-
Hayes & Yeading-
Horsham FC-
TBD-
AFC Dunstable2
Brightlingsea3
Harrow Borough-
TBD-
TBD-
Margate-
Cheshunt-
TBD-
TBD-
Dulwich Hamlet-
Badshot Lea5
Sutton Common Rovers3
FC Witham Town2
Redbridge3
Beaconsfield Town-
TBD-
Metropolitan Police1
Ashford United2
Potters-
TBD-
TBD-
Berkhamsted Town-
Needham Market-
TBD-
TBD-
Cray Wanderers-
Hanwell Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Bracknell Town-
Waltham Abbey1
Heybridge5
TBD-
Chatham-
Lewes-
TBD-
Basildon0
Lowestoft4
South Park2
Three Bridges1
TBD-
Hashtag-
Concord Rangers-
TBD-
Chertsey Town2
Hythe4
Wingate & Finchley-
TBD-
Bury Town2
Walthamstow FC1
Ramsgate3
Sevenoaks1
Sheppey United2
Sittingbourne1
Hastings-
TBD-
TBD-
Kingstonian-
Billericay-
TBD-
Felixstowe & Walton6
Hertford Town3
Whitehawk-
TBD-
Ascot United6
Lancing2
Folkestone-
TBD-
TBD-
Haringey Borough-
Didcot-
TBD-
Cribbs4
Bashley3
Poole Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Sholing-
Basingstoke-
TBD-
Kidlington2
Exmouth Town1
Bishops Cleeve3
Bristol Manor Farm2
Bemerton Heath Harlequins FC0
Frome Town3
Swindon Supermarine-
TBD-
TBD-
Tiverton-
Hamworthy United1
Larkhall2
Mousehole3
Tavistock0
Gosport Borough-
TBD-
TBD-
Salisbury-
Merthyr Town-
TBD-
TBD-
Dorchester-
AFC Totton-
TBD-
TBD-
Plymouth Parkway-
Winchester City-
TBD-
TBD-
Hungerford-
Final
Avro4
Warrington Rylands0
Bootle0
Bamber Bridge2
North Ferriby FC4
Atherton Collieries0
Bradford PA0
Nantwich1
Lancaster0
City Of Liverpool1
Hanley Town0
Macclesfield1
Morpeth1
United of Manchester4
Ashton United2
Brighouse Town1
Workington1
Hyde3
Radcliffe3
Whitby2
Gainsborough1
Guiseley3
Worksop2
Stocksbridge1
Marske United2
Marine4
Quorn2
Telford0
Long Eaton1
Stourbridge4
Stratford1
Basford Utd.0
Redditch2
Leamington1
Harborough2
Biggleswade FC1
Barwell2
Mickleover3
St Ives Town3
Kettering2
Bromsgrove0
Halesowen2
Anstey Nomads0
Alvechurch1
Royston Town1
Coalville Town3
Boldmere St Michaels0
Leighton Town3
Stafford3
Sporting Khalsa2
Hitchin2
Stamford3
Matlock1
Bedford0
Ilkeston2
Walsall Wood3
Nuneaton1
Carlton Town0
Carshalton1
Cray Valley2
Hendon3
Sudbury1
Westfield3
Leatherhead1
Leiston2
Hornchurch1
Walton & Hersham3
Canvey Island1
Chesham4
Enfield Town3
Bognor Regis3
Hayes & Yeading1
Horsham FC2
Brightlingsea0
Harrow Borough1
Margate0
Cheshunt0
Dulwich Hamlet1
Badshot Lea0
Redbridge1
Beaconsfield Town3
Ashford United0
Potters4
Berkhamsted Town1
Needham Market0
Cray Wanderers1
Hanwell Town1
Bracknell Town2
Heybridge1
Chatham2
Lewes4
Lowestoft1
South Park2
Hashtag0
Concord Rangers2
Hythe3
Wingate & Finchley0
Bury Town1
Ramsgate4
Sheppey United1
Hastings1
Kingstonian2
Billericay4
Felixstowe & Walton3
Whitehawk2
Ascot United0
Folkestone2
Haringey Borough3
Didcot1
Cribbs2
Poole Town3
Sholing1
Basingstoke3
Kidlington0
Bishops Cleeve1
Frome Town5
Swindon Supermarine3
Tiverton1
Larkhall2
Mousehole0
Gosport Borough3
Salisbury2
Merthyr Town3
Dorchester1
AFC Totton2
Plymouth Parkway1
Winchester City3
Hungerford5