Sport Picks
Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town
England
Southern League Premier South 
Match Events
5'
5'
Wilson B.
65'
65'
Jake L.
68'
68'
Harding M.
(Penalty)
AI Match Summary
Hanworth Villa in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 4-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hanworth Villa.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
46%
15%
39%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanworth Villa
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
46%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hanworth Villa have won more games recently than Chertsey Town.
- Model gives Hanworth Villa a 46% chance of winning this.
- This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 94%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.4%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 13%
Chertsey Town Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hanworth Villa | Chertsey Town |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 28 |
| Wins | 17 | 15 |
| Draws | 3 | 5 |
| Losses | 8 | 8 |
| Goals Scored | 2.11 | 1.93 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.61 | 1.57 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 2.31 | 1.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 31, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town
4:1
Sep 9, 2023 FA Trophy
Hanworth Villa vs Chertsey Town
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hanworth Villa Compare
Top Goalscorer Jake L.
1 Goals Assists Leader Harding M.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.78
Avg xA / game 1.16
Chertsey Town Compare
Top Goalscorer Wilson B.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.54
Avg xA / game 0.94
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hanworth Villa 66 / 100
Chertsey Town 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hanworth Villa Chertsey Town
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hanworth Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Chertsey Town's defensive record shows goals conceded in 82% of 28 matches.
These sides typically produce 4.00 goals when they meet.
Attacking prowess: Hanworth Villa scored in 79% of their last 28 outings.
Hanworth Villa went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hanworth Villa VS Chertsey Town
2.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.75
88% Over 1.5 100%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%
Recent Form & Match History
Hanworth Villa
(Home) 29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1 Chichester City
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2 Stortford
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2 Hanworth Villa
19 Sept
Pagham
0 : 6 Hanworth Villa
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
Page 1 of 6
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1 Chichester City
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2 Stortford
12 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 3 Yate
05 Sept
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Whitstable Town
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 4
Chertsey Town
(Away) 29 Sept
Chertsey Town
1 : 3 Poole Town
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chertsey Town
3 : 2 A.F.C. Greenwich Borough
12 Sept
Chertsey Town
5 : 0 Malvern Town
Page 1 of 6
26 Sept
Welling
2 : 3 Chertsey Town
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2 Chertsey Town
07 Sept
Carshalton
1 : 2 Chertsey Town
31 Aug
Hanworth Villa
4 : 1 Chertsey Town
22 Aug
Sholing
2 : 4 Chertsey Town
Page 1 of 3
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Plymouth Parkway | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 23:8 | 20 |
| 2 | Uxbridge | 9 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 19:8 | 20 |
| 3 | Hanworth Villa | 9 | 6 | 1 | 2 | 17:8 | 19 |
| 4 | Bath City | 9 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 13:8 | 17 |
| 5 | Poole Town | 8 | 5 | 0 | 3 | 11:10 | 15 |
| 6 | Chertsey Town | 9 | 4 | 2 | 3 | 20:15 | 14 |
| 7 | Frome Town | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 12:8 | 13 |
| 8 | Evesham | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 13:14 | 13 |
| 9 | Chichester City | 9 | 4 | 1 | 4 | 14:16 | 13 |
| 10 | Berkhamsted Town | 10 | 4 | 1 | 5 | 11:14 | 13 |
| 11 | Wimborne | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 10:4 | 12 |
| 12 | Taunton Town | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 21:20 | 12 |
| 13 | Gosport Borough | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11:9 | 11 |
| 14 | Yate | 8 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10:15 | 11 |
| 15 | Sholing | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 9:12 | 10 |
| 16 | Bracknell Town | 8 | 3 | 1 | 4 | 10:17 | 10 |
| 17 | Basingstoke | 9 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 14:16 | 9 |
| 18 | Hanwell Town | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 7:10 | 7 |
| 19 | Gloucester City | 9 | 1 | 4 | 4 | 12:17 | 7 |
| 20 | Chippenham Town | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 7:16 | 7 |
| 21 | Havant & Waterlooville | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 9:16 | 5 |
| 22 | Malvern Town | 9 | 1 | 2 | 6 | 13:25 | 5 |
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)
