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Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

England England

Southern League Premier South
Our Tip

Match Events

3' Event
Vaughan H.
35' Event
McGregor G.
73' Event
Bridle H.

AI Match Summary

Hanworth Villa in this Southern League Premier South matchup, with the score ending 2-1 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hanworth Villa.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

48%
Hanworth Villa
15%
Draws
37%
Chichester City
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hanworth Villa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

48% / Medium Confidence
  • Hanworth Villa have won more games recently than Chichester City.
  • Win probability leans Hanworth Villa's way, sitting at 60%.
  • Regular Southern League Premier South form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 84%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 88%
Over 2.5 Goals 84%
Over 3.5 Goals 63%
Over 4.5 Goals 28%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hanworth Villa Clean Sheet 14%
Chichester City Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hanworth Villa Chichester City
Matches Played 28 27
Wins 15 11
Draws 3 6
Losses 10 10
Goals Scored 1.93 1.78
Goals Conceded 1.64 1.67
Expected Goals (xG) 2.25 1.63
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 29, 2026 Southern League Premier South
Hanworth Villa vs Chichester City
2:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hanworth Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Vaughan H.
1 Goals
Assists Leader McGregor G.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.73
Avg xA / game 1.13

Chichester City Compare

Top Goalscorer Bridle H.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.48
Avg xA / game 0.91

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hanworth Villa 57 / 100
Chichester City 18 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hanworth Villa Chichester City

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Hanworth Villa Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Chichester City let in goals in 81% of their last 27 matches.

Hanworth Villa's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Historical meetings average 3.00 goals per match.

Recent resilience: Hanworth Villa stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hanworth Villa VS Chichester City
2.5 Goals Scored 1.75
1.5 Goals Conceded 2
88% Over 1.5 88%
88% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hanworth Villa

(Home)
10 Oct
Hanworth Villa
1 : 3
Gloucester City
03 Oct
Leatherhead
1 : 0
Hanworth Villa
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Hanworth Villa
3 : 2
Stortford
22 Sept
Berkhamsted Town
1 : 2
Hanworth Villa
Page 1 of 6

Chichester City

(Away)
10 Oct
Chichester City
3 : 1
Plymouth Parkway
29 Sept
Hanworth Villa
2 : 1
Chichester City
26 Sept
Thame United
1 : 2
Chichester City
22 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 2
Chertsey Town
19 Sept
Chichester City
2 : 3
SE Dons
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Poole Town 11 8 0 3 18:12 24
2 Uxbridge 10 7 2 1 20:8 23
3 Plymouth Parkway 10 6 2 2 24:11 20
4 Hanworth Villa 10 6 1 3 18:11 19
5 Bath City 10 5 2 3 14:10 17
6 Frome Town 11 4 4 3 18:14 16
7 Chichester City 10 5 1 4 17:17 16
8 Berkhamsted Town 11 5 1 5 14:14 16
9 Wimborne 9 4 3 2 16:7 15
10 Chertsey Town 10 4 3 3 22:17 15
11 Gosport Borough 11 4 3 4 15:14 15
12 Taunton Town 10 4 1 5 24:24 13
13 Evesham 10 4 1 5 14:18 13
14 Basingstoke 10 3 3 4 18:17 12
15 Yate 10 3 3 4 13:21 12
16 Sholing 9 3 2 4 10:13 11
17 Bracknell Town 10 3 2 5 11:19 11
18 Hanwell Town 9 2 4 3 9:11 10
19 Gloucester City 10 2 4 4 15:18 10
20 Chippenham Town 9 2 2 5 9:18 8
21 Havant & Waterlooville 10 1 2 7 12:22 5
22 Malvern Town 10 1 2 7 14:29 5
Promotion - National League South 2027/2028 (Main)
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Promotion - Southern League Premier South (Play Offs)