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Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
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AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Afula and Ironi Modiin finished 0-0.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hapoel Afula
44%
Draws
20%
Ironi Modiin
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Hapoel Afula come out ahead of Ironi Modiin on wins alone.
  • 44% chance of a draw — the model doesn't see a clear favorite.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 18%
Ironi Modiin Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Ironi Modiin
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 10 8
Draws 9 9
Losses 10 13
Goals Scored 1 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.75 1
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.75 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 24, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin
0:0
Apr 6, 2026 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Ironi Modiin
0:0
Nov 10, 2025 Leumit League
Ironi Modiin vs Hapoel Afula
3:1

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 36 / 100
Ironi Modiin 32 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Ironi Modiin

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick IRO Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula found the back of the net in 76% of recent matches (29 games).

Ironi Modiin has conceded goals in 63% of their last 30 outings.

Solid form: Hapoel Afula remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Games between these two average 1.33 goals.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Ironi Modiin
1 Goals Scored 0.88
1.75 Goals Conceded 1
75% Over 1.5 38%
63% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823