Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

Israel Israel

Leumit League 2025/2026
Our Tip

Match Events

40' Event
Cortes J.
44' Event
Mizrahi Y.
Own Goal
47' Event
Mizrahi Y.

AI Match Summary

The Leumit League 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Afula and Maccabi Petah Tikva finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maccabi Petah Tikva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

30%
Hapoel Afula
39%
Draws
31%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Maccabi Petah Tikva come out ahead of Hapoel Afula on wins alone.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%
Hapoel Afula Clean Sheet 17%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 11%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Afula Maccabi Petah Tikva
Matches Played 30 28
Wins 11 12
Draws 9 11
Losses 10 5
Goals Scored 1.13 1.38
Goals Conceded 1.38 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.13 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 27, 2026 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula
0:1
Oct 24, 2025 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:3
Jan 27, 2023 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula
2:1
Sep 30, 2022 Leumit League
Hapoel Afula vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:1
Feb 7, 2020 Leumit League
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Afula
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Afula Compare

Top Goalscorer Mizrahi Y.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.87
Avg xA / game 0.56

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Cortes J.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Cohen I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Afula 30 / 100
Maccabi Petah Tikva 30 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Afula Maccabi Petah Tikva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Afula found the back of the net in 77% of recent matches (30 games).

Maccabi Petah Tikva let in goals in 79% of their last 28 matches.

Games between these two average 2.80 goals.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Afula stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Afula VS Maccabi Petah Tikva
1.13 Goals Scored 1.38
1.38 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 50%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Afula

(Home)
18 Jul
Hapoel Afula
3 : 2
Dobrudzha
25 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 0
MS Kafr Qasim
19 May
Maccabi Jaffa
4 : 1
Hapoel Afula
15 May
Hapoel Afula
2 : 1
Nof Hagalil
08 May
Hapoel Hadera
1 : 1
Hapoel Afula
Page 1 of 6

Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Away)
25 May
Kiryat Yam
0 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Yehuda
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
05 May
Hapoel Ramat Gan
1 : 1
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Maccabi Petah Tikva30179467:3260
2M. Herzliya30148845:3550
3Hapoel Ramat Gan30147948:3649
4H. Ironi Rishon30139843:3348
5Hapoel Kfar Shalem30138951:4747
6Yehuda301281034:3744
7Kiryat Yam301371043:3742
8Hapoel Kfar Saba301181138:3941
9H. Raanana301081229:3638
10Maccabi Jaffa301071350:5037
11Hapoel Afula30991232:4836
12MS Kafr Qasim308101234:3934
13Nof Hagalil306141037:4532
14Ironi Modiin30881430:4132
15Hapoel Akko306131132:4231
16Hapoel Hadera304111532:4823
Promotion - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Promotion Group)
Relegation - Leumit League 2025/2026 (Relegation Group)