Sport Picks

Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Sammy Ofer Stadium

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Risks Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

This Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 encounter between Hapoel Haifa and Maccabi Bnei Raina promises to be a closely contested affair, with win probabilities pointing to an even matchup. Hapoel Haifa averages 1.1 goals scored and 1.8 conceded in recent matches. Maccabi Bnei Raina shows a form average of 0.8 goals scored and 1.8 conceded. Given their contrasting recent form profiles, this matchup is expected to produce a balanced tactical flow. Historical head-to-head records show 3 wins for Hapoel Haifa, 2 wins for Maccabi Bnei Raina, and 0 draws in their recent direct meetings. Their last direct encounter on 18.04.26 ended in a 2:3 scoreline. Our model projects an expected goals (xG) output of 1.13 for Hapoel Haifa and 1.19 for Maccabi Bnei Raina, suggesting the primary value lies in the Hapoel Haifa double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%

Hapoel Haifa

15%

Draws

40%

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence

Hapoel Haifa picked up more points recently compared to Maccabi Bnei Raina.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.13 vs 1.19 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the home side.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 72%

Over 2.5 Goals 51%

Over 3.5 Goals 31%

Over 4.5 Goals 15%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%

Hapoel Haifa Clean Sheet 20%

Maccabi Bnei Raina Clean Sheet 13%

First Half Goal 65%

Second Half Goal 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Haifa	Maccabi Bnei Raina
Matches Played	30	30
Wins	6	8
Draws	9	3
Losses	15	19
Goals Scored	1.13	0.8
Goals Conceded	1.77	1.77
Expected Goals (xG)	0.75	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.38	1.50

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

18.04.26 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 4 - 1

2:3

24.01.26 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Haifa vs Maccabi Bnei Raina

Possession: 50% - 49% Cards: 2 - 2

0:1

18.10.25 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Haifa

Possession: 49% - 47% Cards: 1 - 2

1:2

27.07.25 Toto Cup

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Haifa

Possession: 46% - 50% Cards: 2 - 1

3:4

21.12.24 Ligat ha'Al

Maccabi Bnei Raina vs Hapoel Haifa

Possession: 59% - 55% Cards: 2 - 2

0:2

Tactical Matchup Profile

Field Positions & Control Styles

Hapoel Haifa

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Maccabi Bnei Raina

Pressing Intensity Medium Block

Attacking Style Quick counter-attacks

Wing Attack Frequency Play through the middle

Defensive Alignment Push high up (Offside trap)

Detailed strengths & weaknesses require tactical scouting logs (Data Unavailable).

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Turgeman A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader N/A

0 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.58

Avg xA / game 0.38

Maccabi Bnei Raina Compare

Top Goalscorer Damascan V.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Sefer A.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Availability Alerts

No availability alerts or suspensions reported for this fixture.

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Haifa 45 / 100

Maccabi Bnei Raina 39 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Haifa Maccabi Bnei Raina

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Hapoel Haifa or Draw (1X)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Home Win (HT)

BTTS Outcome No (NG)

Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +21.5%

2.70

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +13.2%

2.22

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Expected Match Flow Timeline

Dominance and pressure projections by 15-minute intervals

0' - 15' Dominance Index

Both sides are expected to start cautiously, looking to control the midfield battle.

Hapoel Haifa 50%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 32%

15' - 30' Dominance Index

The game is expected to settle into a tactical block, with both managers looking for space on the flanks.

Hapoel Haifa 43%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 42%

30' - 45' Dominance Index

The tempo could accelerate as both teams push for an opening goal before half-time.

Hapoel Haifa 45%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 40%

45' - 60' Dominance Index

Expect tactical adjustments from both sides, possibly shifting to a wider play style.

Hapoel Haifa 47%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 38%

60' - 75' Dominance Index

As players tire, spaces will open up, leading to transitional counter-attacks for both teams.

Hapoel Haifa 41%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 44%

75' - 90' Dominance Index

A high-risk final phase where any defensive lapse could lead to late drama and decide the match.

Hapoel Haifa 52%

Maccabi Bnei Raina 46%

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Haifa attacking → ← attacking Maccabi Bnei Raina

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Haifa have found the net in 67% of their last 30 matches.

Maccabi Bnei Raina have conceded at least one goal in 83% of their last 30 fixtures.

Historical meetings between these sides average 3.60 goals per match.

Hapoel Haifa remained undefeated in 4 of their last 5 overall matchups.

Maccabi Bnei Raina suffered defeat in 3 of their last 5 overall games.

Match Risk Analysis

Assessing potential disruptors and external variables affecting prediction reliability

Risk Level: Moderate

Risk Factor

Fatigue: Match timing requires careful team selection; potential roster adjustments may affect consistency.

Risk Factor

Standard league campaign fixture. Both teams have strong incentives to secure maximum points for table positioning.

Risk Factor

Match Intensity: High stakes fixture where discipline and tactical patience will be crucial factors.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

27 Points in last 5 27

0.75 Goals expected (xG) 1.00

1.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.50

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
7	Netanya	33	14	6	13	59:63	48
8	Shmona	33	11	7	15	50:53	40
9	Ironi Tiberias	33	12	8	13	45:56	36
10	Hapoel Haifa	33	8	10	15	39:51	34
11	Sakhnin	33	8	10	15	28:49	34
12	Hapoel Jerusalem	33	7	10	16	26:43	31
13	SC Ashdod	33	6	10	17	38:62	28
14	Maccabi Bnei Raina	33	6	4	23	26:69	22