Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva

Israel Israel

Toto Cup 2025 Teddy Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

21'
Amian B.
39'
Domgjoni D.
44' Event
Dappa I.
Assist: Badash G.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Jerusalem in this Toto Cup 2025 matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Jerusalem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%
Hapoel Jerusalem
39%
Draws
30%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva have won more games recently than Hapoel Jerusalem.
  • Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
  • It's a cup tie, so expect more urgency than a normal Toto Cup 2025 game.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 50.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 31.6%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 26%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 68%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Petah Tikva
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 8 10
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 12
Goals Scored 0.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 0.88 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.88 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
1:0
May 4, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:0
Mar 16, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
3:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Jerusalem Compare

Top Goalscorer Dappa I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.38
Avg xA / game 0.25

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.42

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Jerusalem 33 / 100
Hapoel Petah Tikva 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Petah Tikva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Jerusalem found the back of the net in 62% of recent matches (29 games).

Hapoel Petah Tikva has conceded goals in 76% of their last 29 outings.

Historical meetings average 2.00 goals per match.

Hapoel Jerusalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Jerusalem VS Hapoel Petah Tikva
0.5 Goals Scored 0.75
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.75
38% Over 1.5 63%
13% Over 2.5 50%
13% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hapoel Haifa43016:49
2Maccabi Bnei Raina42029:96
3Shmona42024:46
4Ironi Tiberias41124:44
5Sakhnin41124:64
PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hapoel Tel Aviv43017:49
2Hapoel Jerusalem43017:49
3Netanya42117:77
4Hapoel Petah Tikva41036:63
5SC Ashdod40132:81