Sport Picks
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Toto Cup Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem 
Match Events
23'
23'
Tassa I.
46'
46'
Sub
Warsana N. In: Shprauo N.
Out: Warsana N.
46'
46'
Sub
Madmon I. In: Dappa I.
Out: Madmon I.
AI Match Summary
First leg ended 3-1. This leg finished 3-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
59%
15%
26%
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Hapoel Jerusalem
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
59%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hapoel Jerusalem have won more games recently than Hapoel Petah Tikva.
- 59% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Jerusalem taking it.
- Hapoel Jerusalem have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Hapoel Jerusalem, who have won 3 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 56.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 22%
Over 4.5 Goals 10%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 29.6%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 68%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 10%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Jerusalem | Hapoel Petah Tikva |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 30 |
| Wins | 11 | 6 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 10 | 17 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 0.83 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.5 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
1:0
Aug 9, 2026 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
3:1
Jan 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
2:1
Oct 18, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:0
Jul 26, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
1:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Jerusalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Dappa I.
2 Goals Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare
Top Goalscorer Cohen A.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Jerusalem 77 / 100
Hapoel Petah Tikva 14 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Jerusalem Hapoel Petah Tikva
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Hapoel Jerusalem Win (1)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 1:0
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Attacking prowess: Hapoel Jerusalem scored in 68% of their last 28 outings.
Defensive concern: Hapoel Petah Tikva conceded in 77% of 30 recent games.
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Solid form: Hapoel Jerusalem remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Jerusalem VS Hapoel Petah Tikva
1.88 Goals Scored 0.63
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 38%
63% Over 3.5 13%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Jerusalem
(Home) 19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4 Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2 Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2 Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2 Shmona
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
09 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
3 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
02 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
1 : 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2 Ironi Tiberias
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Hapoel Petah Tikva
(Away) 18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
13 Sept
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 2 H. Beer Sheva
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
Page 1 of 6
18 Sept
Hapoel Tel Aviv
3 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
05 Sept
Maccabi Haifa
2 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
22 Aug
Ironi Tiberias
1 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
15 Aug
Sakhnin
1 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
09 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
3 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shmona | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 8:1 | 12 |
| 2 | Hapoel Haifa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:7 | 9 |
| 3 | Maccabi Haifa | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 7:8 | 6 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5:9 | 3 |
| 5 | Sakhnin | 4 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 2:6 | 0 |
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Netanya | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 9:5 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 7 |
| 3 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:6 | 7 |
| 4 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:5 | 3 |
| 5 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3:7 | 3 |
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
