Sport Picks
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions
Israel
Ligat ha'Al Teddy Stadium, Jerusalem 
Match Events
1'
1'
Damascan V.
Assist: Zuberu S.
24'
24'
Revivo R.
Assist: Davida O.
44'
44'
Malmud N.
AI Match Summary
The Ligat ha'Al game between Hapoel Jerusalem and Maccabi Tel Aviv finished 2-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Maccabi Tel Aviv.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
28%
20%
52%
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Maccabi Tel Aviv
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
52%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hapoel Jerusalem haven't matched Maccabi Tel Aviv's recent run of results.
- 52% — that's where the model lands on Maccabi Tel Aviv taking it.
- Regular Ligat ha'Al form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
- History favors Maccabi Tel Aviv here — 5 wins from the last 5 head-to-heads.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 34.400000000000006%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 10%
Maccabi Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Jerusalem | Maccabi Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 31 |
| Wins | 11 | 21 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 10 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.21 | 2.19 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.29 | 1.23 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.63 | 1.94 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
Aug 23, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
2:5
Jan 3, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Maccabi Tel Aviv
1:3
Sep 20, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:1
Aug 17, 2025 Toto Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
2:1
Dec 28, 2024 State Cup
Maccabi Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:0
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Jerusalem Compare
Top Goalscorer Damascan V.
1 Goals Assists Leader Almagor O.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.81
Maccabi Tel Aviv Compare
Top Goalscorer Peretz D.
2 Goals Assists Leader Revivo R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.76
Avg xA / game 1.08
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Jerusalem 10 / 100
Maccabi Tel Aviv 86 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Jerusalem Maccabi Tel Aviv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick Maccabi Tel Aviv Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS No
Correct Score 0:9
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Historical meetings average 4.00 goals per match.
Hapoel Jerusalem found the back of the net in 68% of recent matches (28 games).
Maccabi Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 31 matches.
Hapoel Jerusalem went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Jerusalem VS Maccabi Tel Aviv
1.88 Goals Scored 2.25
1.63 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 75%
63% Over 3.5 50%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Jerusalem
(Home) 19 Sept
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 4 Hapoel Jerusalem
15 Sept
Ironi Tiberias
2 : 2 Hapoel Jerusalem
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2 Shmona
29 Aug
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0 Hapoel Jerusalem
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
05 Sept
Hapoel Jerusalem
4 : 2 Shmona
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
09 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
3 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
02 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
1 : 0 Maccabi Petah Tikva
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2 Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
(Away) 19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
14 Sept
Maccabi Tel Aviv
4 : 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4 Maccabi Tel Aviv
31 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
3 : 1 Maccabi Haifa
27 Aug
Maccabi Tel Aviv
1 : 1 Lugano
Page 1 of 7
19 Sept
Netanya
1 : 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
07 Sept
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 4 Maccabi Tel Aviv
23 Aug
Hapoel Jerusalem
2 : 5 Maccabi Tel Aviv
20 Aug
Lugano
2 : 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
16 Aug
Netanya
0 : 1 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 4
League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Maccabi Tel Aviv | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 18:6 | 15 |
| 2 | Maccabi Haifa | 5 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 12:7 | 12 |
| 3 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 11:4 | 10 |
| 4 | H. Beer Sheva | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 8:7 | 10 |
| 5 | Beitar Jerusalem | 5 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 7:9 | 9 |
| 6 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 12:12 | 7 |
| 7 | Hapoel Haifa | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 7:6 | 6 |
| 8 | Maccabi Petah Tikva | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 8:11 | 6 |
| 9 | Netanya | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 6:6 | 5 |
| 10 | Sakhnin | 5 | 1 | 1 | 3 | 3:6 | 4 |
| 11 | Hapoel Ramat Gan | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 4:9 | 3 |
| 12 | Shmona | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 5:11 | 3 |
| 13 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 5 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 2:8 | 3 |
| 14 | Ironi Tiberias | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Ligat ha'Al (Championship Group)
Relegation - Ligat ha'Al (Relegation Group)
