Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

11' Event
Badran M.
25' Event
Agbaria I.
43' Event
Negrin Y.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Bnei Musmus in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 2-3 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Bnei Musmus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Karmiel
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Karmiel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Form's been kind to Hapoel Karmiel lately — more wins on the board than Hapoel Bnei Musmus.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Karmiel taking it.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 72.2%
Hapoel Karmiel Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Karmiel Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Matches Played 22 19
Wins 10 9
Draws 4 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0.13 0.25
Goals Conceded 0.25 0
Expected Goals (xG) 0.13 0.25

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 30, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Karmiel vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2:3
Oct 21, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Karmiel
1:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Karmiel Compare

Top Goalscorer Negrin Y.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Gonzalez I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.1
Avg xA / game 0.07

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Compare

Top Goalscorer Badran M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Agbaria I.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.23
Avg xA / game 0.14

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Karmiel 42 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Karmiel Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Karmiel scored in 77% of their last 22 games.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus's defensive record shows goals conceded in 79% of 19 matches.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Karmiel stayed unbeaten in 2 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Karmiel VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0.13 Goals Scored 0.25
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 13%
13% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00