Sport Picks
Hapoel Karmiel vs M. Nazareth Prediction & H2H Stats
Israel
Liga Alef North 2025/2026 
AI Match Summary
Hapoel Karmiel host M. Nazareth in the Liga Alef North 2025/2026. This one's hard to separate. Hapoel Karmiel have averaged 1.35 scored and 1 conceded recently, against M. Nazareth's 1.68 scored and 1.58 conceded. Head-to-head, Hapoel Karmiel have won 0 to M. Nazareth's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Apr 10, 2026, ending 0:0. Model xG sits at 1.06 vs 0.56, favoring M. Nazareth. AI prediction: Home (1) Win — correct score tipped at 2-1.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- M. Nazareth have won more games recently than Hapoel Karmiel.
- Model gives Hapoel Karmiel a 45% chance of winning this.
- Regular Liga Alef North 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Karmiel | M. Nazareth |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 20 | 19 |
| Wins | 7 | 9 |
| Draws | 7 | 3 |
| Losses | 6 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 1.35 | 1.68 |
| Goals Conceded | 1 | 1.58 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 1.06 | 0.56 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hapoel Karmiel went unbeaten in 5 of their last 5 games.
Attacking prowess: Hapoel Karmiel scored in 75% of their last 20 outings.
M. Nazareth has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.
Away concern: M. Nazareth has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Karmiel
(Home)M. Nazareth
(Away)League Standings
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | M. Nazareth | 21 | 15 | 3 | 3 | 44:17 | 48 |
| 2 | MS Tira | 22 | 13 | 3 | 6 | 42:23 | 42 |
| 3 | Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik | 22 | 10 | 8 | 4 | 35:21 | 38 |
| 4 | Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad | 22 | 10 | 6 | 6 | 34:29 | 36 |
| 5 | Hapoel Karmiel | 22 | 9 | 6 | 7 | 30:23 | 33 |
| 6 | Hapoel Bnei Musmus | 21 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 28:28 | 33 |
| 7 | Beit Shean | 22 | 8 | 8 | 6 | 28:27 | 32 |
| 8 | Ironi Baka | 22 | 9 | 4 | 9 | 33:30 | 31 |
| 9 | Tzeirey Um El Fahem | 22 | 8 | 6 | 8 | 29:25 | 30 |
| 10 | Ironi Nesher | 22 | 8 | 5 | 9 | 28:37 | 29 |
| 11 | FC Tzeirey Tamra | 22 | 7 | 3 | 12 | 32:47 | 24 |
| 12 | Hapoel Ironi Arraba | 22 | 5 | 6 | 11 | 30:39 | 21 |
| 13 | Hapoel Migdal HaEmek | 22 | 8 | 7 | 7 | 29:23 | 17 |
| 14 | Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad | 21 | 4 | 5 | 12 | 16:36 | 17 |
| 15 | Hapoel Tirat Karmel | 21 | 3 | 3 | 15 | 16:42 | 12 |
| 16 | Hapoel Umm al-Fahm | 22 | 6 | 5 | 11 | 30:37 | 11 |
| 17 | Tzeirei Kafr Kanna | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0:0 | 0 |
