Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs H. Beer Sheva

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

8' Event
Levy R.
Assist: Kangwa K.
31'
Rosen S.
36' Event
East J.
Assist: Baltaxa M.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Petah Tikva and H. Beer Sheva finished 2-4, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward H. Beer Sheva.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

80%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
11%
Draws
9%
H. Beer Sheva
Draw rate projection: 11% Favored: Hapoel Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

93% / Very High Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and H. Beer Sheva come out ahead of Hapoel Petah Tikva on wins alone.
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva are the model's pick here, at 80%.
  • Regular Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 76.6%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 18%
H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Petah Tikva H. Beer Sheva
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 9 15
Draws 7 6
Losses 12 7
Goals Scored 0.88 1.88
Goals Conceded 0.75 2
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 0.75 2.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 9, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs H. Beer Sheva
2:4
Apr 18, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
3:0
Apr 4, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
1:1
Dec 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs H. Beer Sheva
1:1
Apr 3, 2024 State Cup
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs H. Beer Sheva
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer East J.
3 Goals
Assists Leader Levy R.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Petah Tikva 76 / 100
H. Beer Sheva 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Petah Tikva H. Beer Sheva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Petah Tikva's goal record stands at 71% scoring rate across 28 recent games.

Defensive concern: H. Beer Sheva conceded in 75% of 28 recent games.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Recent resilience: Hapoel Petah Tikva stayed unbeaten in 4 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Petah Tikva VS H. Beer Sheva
0.88 Goals Scored 1.88
0.75 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 88%
25% Over 2.5 75%
13% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Petah Tikva

(Home)
20 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 1
Yehuda
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0
Spartak Pleven
09 Jul
H. Ironi Rishon
0 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Maccabi Tel Aviv
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H. Beer Sheva

(Away)
21 Jul
Vikingur Reykjavik
2 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
16 Jul
H. Beer Sheva
1 : 3
Maccabi Tel Aviv
07 Jul
Legia
3 : 1
H. Beer Sheva
05 Jul
Omonia
2 : 2
H. Beer Sheva
01 Jul
Radomiak Radom
2 : 3
H. Beer Sheva
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)