Sport Picks
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
Israel
Toto Cup 2025 HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva 
Match Events
14'
14'
Sub
Songa C. In: Mazal S.
Out: Songa C.
30'
30'
Niddam N.
35'
35'
Dappa D.
AI Match Summary
This match ends 1-2, with Hapoel Tel Aviv advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
31%
39%
30%
Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
65%
/ Medium Confidence
- Hapoel Petah Tikva haven't matched Hapoel Tel Aviv's recent run of results.
- Hard to split these two; draw probability sits at 39%.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
- Historical meetings favor Hapoel Tel Aviv, who have won 2 of the last 5 encounters.
- Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.
- Hapoel Tel Aviv have won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two.
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Over 0.5 Goals 85%
Over 1.5 Goals 63%
Over 2.5 Goals 25%
Over 3.5 Goals 19%
Over 4.5 Goals 9%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 30%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 23%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 68%
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Hapoel Petah Tikva | Hapoel Tel Aviv |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 28 | 29 |
| Wins | 9 | 15 |
| Draws | 7 | 7 |
| Losses | 12 | 7 |
| Goals Scored | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Goals Conceded | 0.88 | 1.38 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.88 | 1.13 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 0.88 | 1.38 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
May 12, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
1:0
Apr 25, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:1
Apr 11, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:0
Dec 6, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
4:0
Jul 22, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
1:2
Key Player Impact Analysis
Key performers and expected goal involvement factors
Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare
Top Goalscorer Niddam N.
1 Goals Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44
Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare
Top Goalscorer Dappa D.
1 Goals Assists Leader Turiel S.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.03
Avg xA / game 0.63
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Hapoel Petah Tikva 33 / 100
Hapoel Tel Aviv 41 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).
Attack & Defence Capability Index
Hapoel Petah Tikva Hapoel Tel Aviv
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
Primary Pick HAP Win (2)
Secondary Pick Under 2.5 Goals & BTTS No
Correct Score 0:1
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Hapoel Petah Tikva found the back of the net in 71% of recent matches (28 games).
Historical meetings average 1.80 goals per match.
Hapoel Petah Tikva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.
Hapoel Tel Aviv's defensive record shows goals conceded in 55% of 29 matches.
Scoring Trends
Hapoel Petah Tikva VS Hapoel Tel Aviv
0.88 Goals Scored 1.13
0.88 Goals Conceded 1.38
63% Over 1.5 63%
25% Over 2.5 38%
13% Over 3.5 25%
Recent Form & Match History
Hapoel Petah Tikva
(Home) 20 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 1 Yehuda
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1 Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0 Spartak Pleven
09 Jul
H. Ironi Rishon
0 : 0 Hapoel Petah Tikva
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
20 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 1 Yehuda
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0 Spartak Pleven
23 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 2 Maccabi Tel Aviv
19 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
0 : 0 Beitar Jerusalem
09 May
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 4 H. Beer Sheva
Page 1 of 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
(Away) 23 Jul
Hapoel Tel Aviv
2 : 0 Ludogorets
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3 Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Jul
Banska Bystrica
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
11 Jul
Dun. Streda
0 : 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
08 Jul
Zlin
1 : 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
Page 1 of 6
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3 Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Jul
Banska Bystrica
0 : 0 Hapoel Tel Aviv
11 Jul
Dun. Streda
0 : 1 Hapoel Tel Aviv
08 Jul
Zlin
1 : 2 Hapoel Tel Aviv
03 Jul
Yehuda
3 : 3 Hapoel Tel Aviv
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League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Haifa | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 6:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Maccabi Bnei Raina | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9:9 | 6 |
| 3 | Shmona | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 4:4 | 6 |
| 4 | Ironi Tiberias | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:4 | 4 |
| 5 | Sakhnin | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4:6 | 4 |
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Hapoel Tel Aviv | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 2 | Hapoel Jerusalem | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 7:4 | 9 |
| 3 | Netanya | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 7:7 | 7 |
| 4 | Hapoel Petah Tikva | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 6:6 | 3 |
| 5 | SC Ashdod | 4 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 2:8 | 1 |
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup 2025 (Placement Play Offs)