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Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 HaMoshava Stadium
Our Tip

Match Events

31' Event
David R.
44'
Cohen N.
56'
Sub
Amian B. In: Altman T.
Out: Amian B.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Petah Tikva host Maccabi Haifa in the Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Hapoel Petah Tikva at 0.63 goals for, 2 against; Maccabi Haifa at 1.38 for, 1.75 against. Head-to-head, Hapoel Petah Tikva have won 1 to Maccabi Haifa's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 16, 2026, ending 1:1. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 1.69) point toward Maccabi Haifa. Maccabi Haifa in a double chance market carries the safer edge.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

27%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
33%
Draws
40%
Maccabi Haifa
Draw rate projection: 33% Favored: Maccabi Haifa

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence
  • Maccabi Haifa has accumulated more wins in recent fixtures compared to Hapoel Petah Tikva.
  • Model forecasts a 40% win probability edge for Maccabi Haifa.
  • League standings and seasonal metrics in Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 provide steady trend data.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 38%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 78%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 13%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Petah Tikva Maccabi Haifa
Matches Played 29 30
Wins 9 16
Draws 8 4
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 0.63 1.38
Goals Conceded 2 1.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 1.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.00 1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 16, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
1:1
May 2, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa
1:2
Feb 21, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
0:1
Nov 29, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa
0:0
Jan 3, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Haifa
2:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer David R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Top Goalscorer Saief K.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Haziza D.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.25
Avg xA / game 0.77

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Petah Tikva 27 / 100
Maccabi Haifa 38 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Petah Tikva Maccabi Haifa

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Petah Tikva scored in 69% of their last 29 games.

Maccabi Haifa let in goals in 70% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hapoel Petah Tikva went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Maccabi Haifa lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Petah Tikva VS Maccabi Haifa
0.63 Goals Scored 1.38
2 Goals Conceded 1.75
63% Over 1.5 88%
50% Over 2.5 75%
38% Over 3.5 38%

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740