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Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva

Israel Israel

Toto Cup HaMoshava Stadium, Petah Tikva
Our Tip

Match Events

61'
61'
61'

AI Match Summary

This match ends 1-0, with Hapoel Petah Tikva advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

50%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
28%
Draws
22%
Maccabi Petah Tikva
Draw rate projection: 28% Favored: Hapoel Petah Tikva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

76% / High Confidence
  • Maccabi Petah Tikva haven't matched Hapoel Petah Tikva's recent run of results.
  • Model gives Hapoel Petah Tikva a 50% chance of winning this.
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Petah Tikva, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 75.8%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 20%
Maccabi Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva
Matches Played 31 27
Wins 11 10
Draws 8 11
Losses 12 6
Goals Scored 0.88 0.88
Goals Conceded 1.5 0.75
Expected Goals (xG) 0.88 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 0.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jul 25, 2026 Toto Cup
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
1:0
May 11, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
4:1
Mar 9, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Maccabi Petah Tikva
2:2
Dec 27, 2023 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
2:0
Jul 29, 2023 Toto Cup
Maccabi Petah Tikva vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Cohen N.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.68
Avg xA / game 0.44

Maccabi Petah Tikva Compare

Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Petah Tikva 49 / 100
Maccabi Petah Tikva 23 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Petah Tikva Maccabi Petah Tikva

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAP Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Maccabi Petah Tikva conceded in 81% of 27 recent games.

Hapoel Petah Tikva scored in 74% of their last 31 games.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Hapoel Petah Tikva has registered 4 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Petah Tikva VS Maccabi Petah Tikva
0.88 Goals Scored 0.88
1.5 Goals Conceded 0.75
63% Over 1.5 50%
38% Over 2.5 25%
38% Over 3.5 25%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Petah Tikva

(Home)
25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 1
Yehuda
17 Jul
Svoge
2 : 1
Hapoel Petah Tikva
14 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
2 : 0
Spartak Pleven
09 Jul
H. Ironi Rishon
0 : 0
Hapoel Petah Tikva
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Maccabi Petah Tikva

(Away)
25 Jul
Hapoel Petah Tikva
1 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
25 May
Kiryat Yam
0 : 0
Maccabi Petah Tikva
20 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 2
Yehuda
15 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
2 : 2
Maccabi Petah Tikva
11 May
Maccabi Petah Tikva
2 : 0
H. Ironi Rishon
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hapoel Haifa11003:23
2Ironi Tiberias11002:13
3Shmona00000:00
4Maccabi Haifa10012:30
5Sakhnin10011:20
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netanya11003:13
2Hapoel Petah Tikva11001:03
3Hapoel Ramat Gan00000:00
4Maccabi Petah Tikva10010:10
5Hapoel Jerusalem10011:30
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)