Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Netanya

Israel Israel

Toto Cup 2025 HaMoshava Stadium
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Petah Tikva play Netanya in the Toto Cup 2025. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Petah Tikva averaged 1.27 goals scored and 1.47 conceded. Netanya averaged 1.9 goals scored and 1.73 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Petah Tikva won 3, Netanya won 2, and they drew 0. Their last match on Dec 31, 2025 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Hapoel Petah Tikva and 2.25 for Netanya. This points to a Netanya double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

38%
Hapoel Petah Tikva
19%
Draws
43%
Netanya
Draw rate projection: 19% Favored: Netanya

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Petah Tikva picked up more points recently compared to Netanya.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.25 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 58%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 85%
Over 2.5 Goals 58%
Over 3.5 Goals 35%
Over 4.5 Goals 17%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 60%
Hapoel Petah Tikva Clean Sheet 10%
Netanya Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 77%
Second Half Goal 81%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Petah Tikva Netanya
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 9 13
Draws 9 7
Losses 12 10
Goals Scored 1.27 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.47 1.73
Expected Goals (xG) 0.63 2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 2.38 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Dec 31, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Netanya vs Hapoel Petah Tikva
0:2
Sep 13, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Netanya
3:1
Jul 29, 2025 Toto Cup
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Netanya
2:3
May 19, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Netanya
1:3
Jan 13, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Petah Tikva vs Netanya
2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Petah Tikva Compare

Top Goalscorer Mazal S.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.48
Avg xA / game 0.32

Netanya Compare

Top Goalscorer Bilu O.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Sade Y.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 1.94
Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Petah Tikva 36 / 100
Netanya 42 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Petah Tikva Netanya

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Netanya or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +26.5%
3.33
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +11.4%
1.92
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Petah Tikva attacking → ← attacking Netanya

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Petah Tikva scored in 70% of their last 30 games.

Netanya let in goals in 80% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Hapoel Petah Tikva went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Netanya lost 1 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

36 Points in last 5 46
0.63 Goals expected (xG) 2.13
2.38 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.38

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hapoel Haifa43016:49
2Maccabi Bnei Raina42029:96
3Shmona42024:46
4Ironi Tiberias41124:44
5Sakhnin41124:64
PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Hapoel Tel Aviv43017:49
2Hapoel Jerusalem43017:49
3Netanya42117:77
4Hapoel Petah Tikva41036:63
5SC Ashdod40132:81