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Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Jerusalem

Israel Israel

Toto Cup
Wed, Aug 5, 2026
VS
05:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

A one-off knockout match in the Toto Cup. Little to choose between these two on current form. Recent numbers: Hapoel Ramat Gan at 1.5 goals for, 1.13 against; Hapoel Jerusalem at 0.75 for, 0.88 against. Head-to-head, Hapoel Ramat Gan have won 1 to Hapoel Jerusalem's 1, with 3 draws. They last met on May 7, 2021, ending 1:0. The numbers (1.19 xG vs 0.94) point toward Hapoel Ramat Gan. The model calls this a Draw — both sides look evenly matched.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Ramat Gan
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Jerusalem
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Ramat Gan

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Jerusalem haven't matched Hapoel Ramat Gan's recent run of results.
  • 42% — that's where the model lands on Hapoel Ramat Gan taking it.
  • Hapoel Ramat Gan have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
  • Historical meetings favor Hapoel Ramat Gan, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 71.4%
Hapoel Ramat Gan Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Jerusalem Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Ramat Gan Hapoel Jerusalem
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 14 8
Draws 7 7
Losses 7 13
Goals Scored 1.5 0.75
Goals Conceded 1.13 0.88
Expected Goals (xG) 1.50 0.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.13 0.88

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 7, 2021 Leumit League
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
1:0
Mar 30, 2021 Leumit League
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
1:1
Dec 11, 2020 Leumit League
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Jerusalem
0:0
Jun 11, 2020 Leumit League
Hapoel Jerusalem vs Hapoel Ramat Gan
0:0
Jan 3, 2020 Leumit League
Hapoel Ramat Gan vs Hapoel Jerusalem
3:0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Ramat Gan 42 / 100
Hapoel Jerusalem 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Ramat Gan Hapoel Jerusalem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Ramat Gan found the back of the net in 89% of recent matches (28 games).

Hapoel Jerusalem has conceded goals in 64% of their last 28 outings.

Solid form: Hapoel Ramat Gan remains unbeaten in 4 of 5 recent matches.

Away concern: Hapoel Jerusalem has suffered 3 losses in 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Ramat Gan VS Hapoel Jerusalem
1.5 Goals Scored 0.75
1.13 Goals Conceded 0.88
88% Over 1.5 50%
63% Over 2.5 13%
13% Over 3.5 13%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Ramat Gan

(Home)
18 Jul
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 1
TSC Backa Topola
14 Jul
Hapoel Ramat Gan
0 : 4
Paks
25 May
Hapoel Kfar Saba
1 : 1
Hapoel Ramat Gan
20 May
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 1
H. Ironi Rishon
15 May
Hapoel Ramat Gan
2 : 1
Hapoel Kfar Shalem
Page 1 of 6

Hapoel Jerusalem

(Away)
25 Jul
Netanya
3 : 1
Hapoel Jerusalem
19 Jul
Leczna
0 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
17 Jul
Motor Lublin
2 : 0
Hapoel Jerusalem
10 Jul
Yehuda
2 : 2
Hapoel Jerusalem
18 May
Hapoel Jerusalem
0 : 2
Ironi Tiberias
Page 1 of 6

League Standings (Group 1)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Hapoel Haifa11003:23
2Ironi Tiberias11002:13
3Shmona00000:00
4Maccabi Haifa10012:30
5Sakhnin10011:20
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)

League Standings (Group 2)

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1Netanya11003:13
2Hapoel Petah Tikva11001:03
3Hapoel Ramat Gan00000:00
4Maccabi Petah Tikva10010:10
5Hapoel Jerusalem10011:30
Promotion - Toto Cup (Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)
Promotion - Toto Cup (Placement Play Offs)