Sport Picks

Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium

H. Beer Sheva

Our Tip

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Heatmaps Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tel Aviv play H. Beer Sheva in the Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Tel Aviv averaged 1.55 goals scored and 0.97 conceded. H. Beer Sheva averaged 2.1 goals scored and 1.24 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Tel Aviv won 2, H. Beer Sheva won 3, and they drew 0. Their last match on May 15, 2026 ended 0:2. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.50 for Hapoel Tel Aviv and 1.81 for H. Beer Sheva. This points to a H. Beer Sheva double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%

Hapoel Tel Aviv

17%

Draws

43%

H. Beer Sheva

Draw rate projection: 17% Favored: H. Beer Sheva

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

70% / Medium Confidence

Hapoel Tel Aviv picked up more points recently compared to H. Beer Sheva.
Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.50 vs 1.81 xG).
Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 91%

Over 1.5 Goals 81%

Over 2.5 Goals 54%

Over 3.5 Goals 32%

Over 4.5 Goals 16%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 54%

Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 11%

H. Beer Sheva Clean Sheet 10%

First Half Goal 73%

Second Half Goal 77%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Tel Aviv	H. Beer Sheva
Matches Played	29	29
Wins	15	17
Draws	7	7
Losses	7	5
Goals Scored	1.55	2.1
Goals Conceded	0.97	1.24
Expected Goals (xG)	1.25	2.13
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.75

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 15, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva

Possession: 60% - 47% Cards: 0 - 3

0:2

May 2, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Possession: 42% - 47% Cards: 4 - 1

2:0

Jan 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs H. Beer Sheva

Possession: 41% - 49% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Oct 4, 2025 Ligat ha'Al

H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Possession: 55% - 59% Cards: 3 - 2

2:1

Aug 16, 2025 Toto Cup

H. Beer Sheva vs Hapoel Tel Aviv

Possession: 59% - 48% Cards: 4 - 0

0:2

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Avg xG / game 0.96

Avg xA / game 0.63

H. Beer Sheva Compare

Top Goalscorer Davidzada O.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Ganah A. C.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 1.94

Avg xA / game 1.18

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 38 / 100

H. Beer Sheva 41 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Tel Aviv H. Beer Sheva

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: H. Beer Sheva or Draw (X2)

Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals

First Half Result Draw (HT)

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win

Value Edge +25.2%

3.13

Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals

Value Edge +12.3%

2.08

*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Tel Aviv attacking → ← attacking H. Beer Sheva

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tel Aviv scored in 76% of their last 29 games.

H. Beer Sheva let in goals in 72% of their last 29 matches.

Games between these two average 2.40 goals.

Hapoel Tel Aviv went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

H. Beer Sheva lost 3 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

52 Points in last 5 58

1.25 Goals expected (xG) 2.13

1.50 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.75

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	H. Beer Sheva	36	24	7	5	79:38	79
2	Beitar Jerusalem	36	22	10	4	78:40	76
3	Maccabi Tel Aviv	36	19	9	8	72:46	66
4	Hapoel Tel Aviv	36	18	8	10	55:35	60
5	Maccabi Haifa	36	15	10	11	66:47	55
6	Hapoel Petah Tikva	36	9	13	14	48:57	40