Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa

Israel Israel

Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 Bloomfield Stadium, Tel-Aviv
Our Tip

Match Events

3'
Boateng E.
40' Event
Loizou L.
Assist: Turiel S.
46'
Sub
Amir E. In: Benson M.
Out: Amir E.

AI Match Summary

The Ligat ha'Al 2025/2026 game between Hapoel Tel Aviv and Maccabi Haifa finished 4-0, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Hapoel Tel Aviv.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

36%
Hapoel Tel Aviv
44%
Draws
20%
Maccabi Haifa
Draw rate projection: 44% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

71% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Tel Aviv have managed 1.25 goals a game lately — Maccabi Haifa are scoring more at 2.5.
  • Model puts this one close, with a 44% draw probability.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 98%
Over 1.5 Goals 87.5%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 14%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69%
Hapoel Tel Aviv Clean Sheet 10%
Maccabi Haifa Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tel Aviv Maccabi Haifa
Matches Played 29 28
Wins 15 15
Draws 7 4
Losses 7 9
Goals Scored 1.25 2.5
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.38
Expected Goals (xG) 1.25 2.50
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.50 1.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

May 19, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
4:1
Apr 29, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
4:0
Apr 6, 2026 Ligat ha'Al
Hapoel Tel Aviv vs Maccabi Haifa
2:0
Dec 2, 2025 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
2:1
Mar 17, 2024 Ligat ha'Al
Maccabi Haifa vs Hapoel Tel Aviv
0:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tel Aviv Compare

Top Goalscorer Loizou L.
2 Goals
Assists Leader Altman O.
2 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.96
Avg xA / game 0.63

Maccabi Haifa Compare

Avg xG / game 2.27
Avg xA / game 1.39

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tel Aviv 34 / 100
Maccabi Haifa 20 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tel Aviv Maccabi Haifa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick MAC Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Solid form: Hapoel Tel Aviv remains unbeaten in 5 of 5 recent matches.

Hapoel Tel Aviv scored in 72% of their last 29 games.

Maccabi Haifa's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 28 matches.

H2H data points to 2.80 goals as a typical output.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tel Aviv VS Maccabi Haifa
1.25 Goals Scored 2.5
1.5 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 100%
38% Over 2.5 75%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Tel Aviv

(Home)
18 Jul
Beitar Jerusalem
2 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
14 Jul
Banska Bystrica
0 : 0
Hapoel Tel Aviv
11 Jul
Dun. Streda
0 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
08 Jul
Zlin
1 : 2
Hapoel Tel Aviv
03 Jul
Yehuda
3 : 3
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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Maccabi Haifa

(Away)
14 Jul
Kiryat Yam
0 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
08 Jul
Maccabi Haifa
3 : 3
Paks
04 Jul
Dundee FC
1 : 2
Maccabi Haifa
23 May
H. Beer Sheva
2 : 5
Maccabi Haifa
19 May
Maccabi Haifa
4 : 1
Hapoel Tel Aviv
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League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1H. Beer Sheva36247579:3879
2Beitar Jerusalem362210478:4076
3Maccabi Tel Aviv36199872:4666
4Hapoel Tel Aviv361881055:3560
5Maccabi Haifa3615101166:4755
6Hapoel Petah Tikva369131448:5740
Promotion - Champions League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)
Promotion - Europa League (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League (Qualification)