Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Beit Shean

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Tirat Karmel play Beit Shean in the Liga Alef North. It looks like a close match. Recently, Hapoel Tirat Karmel averaged 0.76 goals scored and 1.9 conceded. Beit Shean averaged 1.25 goals scored and 1.05 conceded. In past meetings, Hapoel Tirat Karmel won 1, Beit Shean won 1, and they drew 0. Their last match on Feb 19, 2026 ended 0:1. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.20 for Hapoel Tirat Karmel and 0.13 for Beit Shean. This points to a Beit Shean double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

23%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel
26%
Draws
51%
Beit Shean
Draw rate projection: 26% Favored: Beit Shean

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / High Confidence
  • Hapoel Tirat Karmel picked up more points recently compared to Beit Shean.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.20 vs 0.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • Strong defensive structures favor a low-scoring, controlled fixture.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 70%
Over 2.5 Goals 49%
Over 3.5 Goals 29%
Over 4.5 Goals 15%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 42%
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 36%
Beit Shean Clean Sheet 12%
First Half Goal 63%
Second Half Goal 67%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Tirat Karmel Beit Shean
Matches Played 21 20
Wins 3 8
Draws 3 7
Losses 15 5
Goals Scored 0.76 1.25
Goals Conceded 1.9 1.05

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 19, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Beit Shean
0:1
Oct 17, 2025 Liga Alef North
Beit Shean vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Beit Shean Compare

Top Goalscorer Gabis A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.12
Avg xA / game 0.07

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 28 / 100
Beit Shean 48 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Tirat Karmel Beit Shean

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Beit Shean or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Under 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +53.4%
6.67
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +14.2%
2.33
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Hapoel Tirat Karmel attacking → ← attacking Beit Shean

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Tirat Karmel scored in 48% of their last 21 games.

Beit Shean let in goals in 65% of their last 20 matches.

Games between these two average 2.00 goals.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel went unbeaten in 2 of their last 5 games.

Beit Shean lost 0 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

12 Points in last 5 31
0.00 Goals expected (xG) 0.13
0.13 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 0.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00