Sport Picks

Israel

Liga Alef North

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

0 - 5

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Our Tip

Match Events

28'

Jabarin H.

39'

Lebanon T.

60'

Mahamid A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Liga Alef North game between Hapoel Tirat Karmel and Tzeirey Um El Fahem finished 0-5, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Tzeirey Um El Fahem.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%

Hapoel Tirat Karmel

20%

Draws

38%

Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence

Tzeirey Um El Fahem carry the better recent record into this one.
Win probability leans Hapoel Tirat Karmel's way, sitting at 42%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 70%

Over 4.5 Goals 32%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.2%

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Clean Sheet 20%

Tzeirey Um El Fahem Clean Sheet 18%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	Tzeirey Um El Fahem
Matches Played	21	21
Wins	3	6
Draws	3	6
Losses	15	9
Goals Scored	0	0.38
Goals Conceded	0.13	0.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	0.13	0.38

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jan 16, 2026 Liga Alef North

Tzeirey Um El Fahem vs Hapoel Tirat Karmel

Possession: 57% - 60% Cards: 3 - 2

1:1

Oct 24, 2025 Liga Alef North

Hapoel Tirat Karmel vs Tzeirey Um El Fahem

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 3 - 1

0:5

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Compare

Avg xG / game 0

Avg xA / game 0

Tzeirey Um El Fahem Compare

Top Goalscorer Mahamid A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Jabarin H.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.35

Avg xA / game 0.21

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Tirat Karmel 42 / 100

Tzeirey Um El Fahem 38 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hapoel Tirat Karmel Tzeirey Um El Fahem

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Historical meetings average 3.50 goals per match.

Tzeirey Um El Fahem's defensive record shows goals conceded in 71% of 21 matches.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel's goal record stands at 48% scoring rate across 21 recent games.

Hapoel Tirat Karmel has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Tirat Karmel VS Tzeirey Um El Fahem

0 Goals Scored 0.38

0.13 Goals Conceded 0.38

0% Over 1.5 25%

0% Over 2.5 25%

0% Over 3.5 0%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	M. Nazareth	21	15	3	3	44:17	48
2	MS Tira	22	13	3	6	42:23	42
3	Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik	22	10	8	4	35:21	38
4	Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad	22	10	6	6	34:29	36
5	Hapoel Karmiel	22	9	6	7	30:23	33
6	Hapoel Bnei Musmus	21	9	6	6	28:28	33
7	Beit Shean	22	8	8	6	28:27	32
8	Ironi Baka	22	9	4	9	33:30	31
9	Tzeirey Um El Fahem	22	8	6	8	29:25	30
10	Ironi Nesher	22	8	5	9	28:37	29
11	FC Tzeirey Tamra	22	7	3	12	32:47	24
12	Hapoel Ironi Arraba	22	5	6	11	30:39	21
13	Hapoel Migdal HaEmek	22	8	7	7	29:23	17
14	Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad	21	4	5	12	16:36	17
15	Hapoel Tirat Karmel	21	3	3	15	16:42	12
16	Hapoel Umm al-Fahm	22	6	5	11	30:37	11
17	Tzeirei Kafr Kanna	0	0	0	0	0:0	0