Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Our Tip

Match Events

72'
Michael O.
73' Event
Masarwa S.
(Penalty)
82' Event
Agbaria I.

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Bnei Musmus in this Liga Alef North matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Hapoel Bnei Musmus.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
20%
Draws
38%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Hapoel Bnei Musmus have won more games recently than Hapoel Umm al-Fahm.
  • Win probability leans Hapoel Umm al-Fahm's way, sitting at 42%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
Hapoel Bnei Musmus Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Bnei Musmus
Matches Played 20 19
Wins 7 9
Draws 5 5
Losses 8 5
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 21, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0:2
Oct 18, 2025 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Bnei Musmus vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Compare

Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

Hapoel Bnei Musmus Compare

Top Goalscorer Agbaria I.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0
Avg xA / game 0

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 42 / 100
Hapoel Bnei Musmus 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Hapoel Bnei Musmus

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm scored in 70% of their last 20 outings.

Hapoel Bnei Musmus has conceded goals in 79% of their last 19 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm went unbeaten in 3 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 Goals Scored 0
0 Goals Conceded 0
0% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Home)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 4

Hapoel Bnei Musmus

(Away)
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
1 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
06 Feb
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
0 : 1
Beit Shean
30 Jan
Hapoel Karmiel
2 : 3
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
24 Jan
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
2 : 1
FC Tzeirey Tamra
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)