Sport Picks

Stadium Background

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs MS Tira

Israel Israel

Liga Alef North
Fri, Mar 13, 2026
VS
01:00 PM
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm host MS Tira in the Liga Alef North. Little to choose between these two on current form. MS Tira have shipped 0 goals a game lately, while Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have conceded 0.25 and scored 0. Head-to-head, Hapoel Umm al-Fahm have won 3 to MS Tira's 1, with 1 draws. They last met on Mar 13, 2026, ending 0:0. xG projections (1.20 - 1.00) back MS Tira to edge this. AI prediction: Draw (X). Expect a competitive, tight affair.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

42%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
20%
Draws
38%
MS Tira
Draw rate projection: 20% Favored: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

67% / Medium Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and MS Tira come out ahead of Hapoel Umm al-Fahm on wins alone.
  • Hapoel Umm al-Fahm are the model's pick here, at 42%.
  • Regular Liga Alef North form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 68.6%
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm Clean Sheet 20%
MS Tira Clean Sheet 12%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Hapoel Umm al-Fahm MS Tira
Matches Played 20 20
Wins 7 13
Draws 5 3
Losses 8 4
Goals Scored 0 0
Goals Conceded 0.25 0

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Mar 13, 2026 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs MS Tira
0:0
Nov 27, 2025 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
5:0
Jan 26, 2019 Liga Alef North
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm vs MS Tira
1:0
Sep 21, 2018 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:1
Mar 16, 2018 Liga Alef North
MS Tira vs Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0:3

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm 42 / 100
MS Tira 37 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm MS Tira

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Draw (X)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm found the back of the net in 70% of recent matches (20 games).

MS Tira has conceded goals in 60% of their last 20 outings.

These sides typically produce 2.00 goals when they meet.

Solid form: Hapoel Umm al-Fahm remains unbeaten in 3 of 5 recent matches.

Scoring Trends

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm VS MS Tira
0 Goals Scored 0
0.25 Goals Conceded 0
13% Over 1.5 0%
0% Over 2.5 0%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Hapoel Umm al-Fahm

(Home)
26 Feb
Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik
0 : 0
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
21 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
0 : 2
Hapoel Bnei Musmus
12 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
2 : 3
Beit Shean
05 Feb
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
1 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
30 Jan
FC Tzeirey Tamra
2 : 4
Hapoel Umm al-Fahm
Page 1 of 4

MS Tira

(Away)
26 Feb
Beit Shean
0 : 0
MS Tira
19 Feb
MS Tira
0 : 0
Hapoel Karmiel
13 Feb
FC Tzeirey Tamra
1 : 3
MS Tira
06 Feb
MS Tira
0 : 2
Ironi Nesher
30 Jan
M. Nazareth
0 : 1
MS Tira
Page 1 of 4

League Standings

PosTeamPWDLGDPts
1M. Nazareth21153344:1748
2MS Tira22133642:2342
3Maccabi Kiryat Ata-Bialik22108435:2138
4Maccabi Neve Shaanan Eldad22106634:2936
5Hapoel Karmiel2296730:2333
6Hapoel Bnei Musmus2196628:2833
7Beit Shean2288628:2732
8Ironi Baka2294933:3031
9Tzeirey Um El Fahem2286829:2530
10Ironi Nesher2285928:3729
11FC Tzeirey Tamra22731232:4724
12Hapoel Ironi Arraba22561130:3921
13Hapoel Migdal HaEmek2287729:2317
14Maccabi Nujeidat Ahmad21451216:3617
15Hapoel Tirat Karmel21331516:4212
16Hapoel Umm al-Fahm22651130:3711
17Tzeirei Kafr Kanna00000:00
Promotion - Leumit League (Main)
Promotion - Liga Alef North (Promotion - Play Offs)