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Happy Boy vs Villa

Uganda Uganda

Uganda Cup
Our Tip

Match Events

74' Event
Otim A.

AI Match Summary

First leg ended 0-1. This leg finished 0-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

40%
Happy Boy
25%
Draws
35%
Villa
Draw rate projection: 25% Favored: Happy Boy

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

35% / Low Confidence
  • Villa have won more games recently than Happy Boy.
  • Win probability leans Villa's way, sitting at 50%.
  • Villa arrive in better shape, but cup ties don't always follow form.
  • Historical meetings favor Villa, who have won 1 of the last 1 encounters.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 0%
Over 4.5 Goals 0%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 61.8%
Happy Boy Clean Sheet 20%
Villa Clean Sheet 20%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Happy Boy Villa
Matches Played 2 30
Wins 1 19
Draws 0 6
Losses 1 5
Goals Scored 0.5 1.5
Goals Conceded 0.5 0.5
Expected Goals (xG) 0.32 0.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 6, 2026 Uganda Cup
Happy Boy vs Villa
0:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Happy Boy Compare

Avg xG / game 0.25
Avg xA / game 0.16

Villa Compare

Top Goalscorer Otim A.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 0.8
Avg xA / game 0.49

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Happy Boy 24 / 100
Villa 49 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Happy Boy Villa

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Villa Win (2)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 1:2
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Happy Boy's goal record stands at 50% scoring rate across 2 recent games.

Villa let in goals in 40% of their last 30 matches.

H2H data points to 1.00 goals as a typical output.

Happy Boy has registered 1 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.

Scoring Trends

Happy Boy VS Villa
0.5 Goals Scored 1.25
0.5 Goals Conceded 0.13
0% Over 1.5 38%
0% Over 2.5 13%
0% Over 3.5 0%

Recent Form & Match History

Happy Boy

(Home)
06 Apr
Happy Boy
0 : 1
Villa
16 Mar
Happy Boy
1 : 0
Six Oclock

Villa

(Away)
30 May
Kitara
2 : 1
Villa
23 May
Villa
2 : 1
UPDF FC
20 May
NEC FC
1 : 4
Villa
16 May
Villa
1 : 0
Uganda Revenue
13 May
Mbarara City
1 : 3
Villa
Page 1 of 6

Tournament Bracket & Draw

1/8-finals
Kitara 6
Bunyaruguru 0
Express FC 4
Red Devo 0
NEC FC 2
Lugazi 0
Vipers 4
Iganga United 0
Uganda Revenue 3
Tapoh 0
Kampala City 5
Onduparaka 0
Happy Boy 1
Six Oclock 0
Villa 1
Maroons 0
Quarter-finals
Kitara 3
Express FC 0
NEC FC 0
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 3
Kampala City 2
Happy Boy 0
Villa 1
Semi-finals
Kitara 1
Vipers 1
Uganda Revenue 0
Villa 3
Final
Kitara 2
Villa 1