Sport Picks
AI Match Summary
This match ends 0-3, with Yuen Long advancing. Cup football at its most decisive.
Win Probability Meter
Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles
Model Confidence
Aggregate indicator score
- Happy Valley carry the better recent record into this one.
- Model puts this one close, with a 40% draw probability.
- Happy Valley have the better recent form, but knockout football is a different beast — one bad day ends the campaign.
- Historical meetings favor Yuen Long, who have won 1 of the last 5 encounters.
- High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).
Goal Probability Engine
Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories
Recent Team Form Analysis
Averages per match over historical game filters
| Metric | Happy Valley | Yuen Long |
|---|---|---|
| Matches Played | 36 | 21 |
| Wins | 8 | 4 |
| Draws | 10 | 8 |
| Losses | 18 | 9 |
| Goals Scored | 1.33 | 1.95 |
| Goals Conceded | 1.92 | 2.43 |
| Expected Goals (xG) | 0.97 | 0.69 |
| Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) | 1.10 | 1.40 |
H2H
Historical prediction success rates across key markets
SokaPicks Momentum Index
Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)
Attack & Defence Capability Index
AI Prediction Engine Forecast
Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets
SokaPicks Smart Insights
Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system
Yuen Long has conceded goals in 86% of their last 21 outings.
Happy Valley's goal record stands at 64% scoring rate across 36 recent games.
These sides typically produce 2.40 goals when they meet.
Happy Valley has registered 2 games unbeaten in their last 5 outings.
Scoring Trends
Recent Form & Match History
Happy Valley
(Home)Yuen Long
(Away)League Standings (Group 1)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kitchee | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 20:6 | 19 |
| 2 | Eastern AA | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 14:5 | 16 |
| 3 | Pegasus | 8 | 4 | 0 | 4 | 19:20 | 12 |
| 4 | Lee Man Warriors | 8 | 2 | 1 | 5 | 17:22 | 7 |
| 5 | Hong Kong Rangers | 8 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 10:27 | 4 |
League Standings (Group 2)
| Pos | Team | P | W | D | L | GD | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Southern District | 8 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 8:5 | 15 |
| 2 | Guangzhou R&F (Hong Kong) | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 18:12 | 13 |
| 3 | Yuen Long | 8 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 19:17 | 12 |
| 4 | Happy Valley | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 13:17 | 8 |
| 5 | Tai Po | 8 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 18:25 | 6 |