Sport Picks

Netherlands

Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 Sportpark de Boshoek

Hardenberg

1 - 1

Spakenburg

Our Tip

Match Events

34'

El Azzouti A.

45'

Deuling S.

57'

Junte R.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Tweede Divisie 2025/2026 game between Hardenberg and Spakenburg finished 1-1.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

31%

Hardenberg

39%

Draws

30%

Spakenburg

Draw rate projection: 39% Favored: Draw

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

65% / Medium Confidence

Look at the last few games and Spakenburg come out ahead of Hardenberg on wins alone.
Model puts this one close, with a 39% draw probability.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 31.5%

Over 4.5 Goals 14%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77%

Hardenberg Clean Sheet 14%

Spakenburg Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Hardenberg	Spakenburg
Matches Played	29	32
Wins	11	15
Draws	5	7
Losses	13	10
Goals Scored	1.63	1.75
Goals Conceded	1.5	1.13
Expected Goals (xG)	1.63	1.75
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.50	1.13

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Feb 28, 2026 Tweede Divisie

Hardenberg vs Spakenburg

Possession: 57% - 55% Cards: 2 - 1

1:1

Sep 27, 2025 Tweede Divisie

Spakenburg vs Hardenberg

Possession: 56% - 52% Cards: 3 - 0

2:3

Jan 18, 2025 Tweede Divisie

Spakenburg vs Hardenberg

Possession: 47% - 40% Cards: 0 - 2

2:0

Aug 24, 2024 Tweede Divisie

Hardenberg vs Spakenburg

Possession: 56% - 43% Cards: 2 - 4

3:1

Mar 16, 2024 Tweede Divisie

Hardenberg vs Spakenburg

Possession: 56% - 46% Cards: 2 - 3

2:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Hardenberg Compare

Top Goalscorer Deuling S.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.25

Avg xA / game 0.81

Spakenburg Compare

Top Goalscorer El Azzouti A.

1 Goals

Avg xG / game 1.59

Avg xA / game 0.97

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Hardenberg 31 / 100

Spakenburg 29 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Hardenberg Spakenburg

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick SPA Win (2)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 1:2

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Defensive concern: Spakenburg conceded in 81% of 32 recent games.

Hardenberg scored in 66% of their last 29 games.

Games between these two average 3.00 goals.

Recent resilience: Hardenberg stayed unbeaten in 3 of the last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Hardenberg VS Spakenburg

1.63 Goals Scored 1.75

1.5 Goals Conceded 1.13

88% Over 1.5 75%

63% Over 2.5 50%

38% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Quick Boys	34	19	10	5	69:35	66
2	De Treffers	34	18	9	7	64:37	63
3	HSV Hoek	34	19	6	9	60:37	63
4	Rijnsburgse Boys	34	16	8	10	76:55	56
5	Hardenberg	34	17	5	12	58:44	56
6	Spakenburg	34	16	8	10	72:60	56
7	Katwijk	34	15	7	12	60:55	52
8	Jong Almere City	34	15	5	14	70:62	50
9	Kozakken Boys	34	13	8	13	47:55	47
10	Jong Sparta Rotterdam	34	12	9	13	71:73	45
11	AFC	34	12	9	13	46:54	45
12	Barendrecht	34	13	4	17	62:84	43
13	RKAV Volendam	34	13	3	18	50:62	42
14	GVVV	34	12	6	16	52:67	42
15	Koninklijke HFC	34	12	3	19	33:49	39
16	IJsselmeervogels	34	9	4	21	46:65	31
17	Excelsior Maassluis	34	8	7	19	39:58	31
18	ACV Assen	34	7	9	18	48:71	30