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Harju JK Laagri vs Flora

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion
Our Tip

AI Match Summary

Harju JK Laagri play Flora in the Meistriliiga. It looks like a close match. Recently, Harju JK Laagri averaged 1.57 goals scored and 1.57 conceded. Flora averaged 2.07 goals scored and 1.03 conceded. In past meetings, Harju JK Laagri won 1, Flora won 4, and they drew 0. Their last match on Apr 30, 2026 ended 5:0. Our numbers estimate xG of 1.00 for Harju JK Laagri and 2.13 for Flora. This points to a Flora double chance or over markets.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

33%
Harju JK Laagri
15%
Draws
52%
Flora
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Flora

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

78% / High Confidence
  • Harju JK Laagri picked up more points recently compared to Flora.
  • Model forecasts higher goal threat for the host (1.00 vs 2.13 xG).
  • Past meetings show a clear pattern favoring the visitors.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 71%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 90%
Over 1.5 Goals 83%
Over 2.5 Goals 71%
Over 3.5 Goals 43%
Over 4.5 Goals 21%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 48%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%
Flora Clean Sheet 15%
First Half Goal 75%
Second Half Goal 79%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Flora
Matches Played 30 30
Wins 12 20
Draws 5 1
Losses 13 9
Goals Scored 1.57 2.07
Goals Conceded 1.57 1.03
Expected Goals (xG) 1.00 2.38
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.88 1.00

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Apr 30, 2026 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
5:0
Mar 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
2:0
Oct 4, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
1:2
Aug 16, 2025 Meistriliiga
Flora vs Harju JK Laagri
3:1
May 9, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Flora
0:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Sillamaa R.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Ennuste K.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 0.77
Avg xA / game 0.5

Flora Compare

Avg xG / game 2.16
Avg xA / game 1.32

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 32 / 100
Flora 50 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Flora

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Double Chance: Flora or Draw (X2)
Secondary Pick Under 3.5 Goals
First Half Result Draw (HT)
BTTS Outcome No (NG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Value Bet Detector (+EV)

Matches where our model probability exceeds implied bookmaker odds

1X2 Home Win
Value Edge +32%
4.00
Goals Over/Under Over 2.5 Goals
Value Edge +9.3%
1.54
*EV represents Expected Value. A positive value edge means the bookmaker has priced the selection significantly below its true statistical likelihood.

Attacking Heatmaps & Shot Locations

Dynamic heat overlays computed from tactical zone entries

Harju JK Laagri attacking → ← attacking Flora

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harju JK Laagri scored in 80% of their last 30 games.

Flora let in goals in 57% of their last 30 matches.

Games between these two average 3.40 goals.

Harju JK Laagri went unbeaten in 1 of their last 5 games.

Flora lost 2 of their last 5 games.

Interactive Team Comparison Slider

Side-by-side comparison of team metrics

41 Points in last 5 61
1.00 Goals expected (xG) 2.38
1.88 Goals conceded expected (xGA) 1.00

League Standings

PosTeam P W D L GD Pts
1Levadia19144149:1646
2Flora18120638:1936
3Kalju19104533:1634
4Paide Linnameeskond1995530:2332
5Tammeka Tartu1782720:2126
6Parnu JK Vaprus1872922:3423
7Nomme Utd18611134:4319
8Harju JK Laagri18611122:3219
9Kuressaare18521117:3017
10Narva18311412:4310