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Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Our Tip

Match Events

37'
Kaevats A.
65'
Sub
Palutaja H. In: Suppi S.
Out: Palutaja H.
66' Event
Reimaa R.
Assist: Binate A.

AI Match Summary

Harju JK Laagri in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 1-0 — backing the pre-match view that favored Harju JK Laagri.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

53%
Harju JK Laagri
15%
Draws
32%
Kalju
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

53% / Medium Confidence
  • Kalju have won more games recently than Harju JK Laagri.
  • Win probability leans Harju JK Laagri's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 70.6%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 10%
Kalju Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Kalju
Matches Played 29 29
Wins 12 13
Draws 2 5
Losses 15 11
Goals Scored 1.9 1.9
Goals Conceded 1.52 1.17
Expected Goals (xG) 1.81 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Oct 10, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri
0:1
Aug 22, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
1:0
May 20, 2026 Meistriliiga
Kalju vs Harju JK Laagri
1:0
Apr 8, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
0:2
Oct 19, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Kalju
1:3

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Reimaa R.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.39
Avg xA / game 0.91

Kalju Compare

Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 83 / 100
Kalju 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Kalju

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 5:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harju JK Laagri's goal record stands at 72% scoring rate across 29 recent games.

Kalju has conceded goals in 69% of their last 29 outings.

These sides typically produce 1.80 goals when they meet.

Harju JK Laagri went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Kalju
2.25 Goals Scored 2.63
1.13 Goals Conceded 1.38
75% Over 1.5 88%
63% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 38%

Recent Form & Match History

Harju JK Laagri

(Home)
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
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Kalju

(Away)
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
12 Sept
Kalju
2 : 0
Narva
08 Sept
Kalju
1 : 2
Nomme Utd
05 Sept
Flora
2 : 1
Kalju
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League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 29 15 5 9 52:27 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 29 14 2 13 37:47 44
6 Harju JK Laagri 29 11 2 16 40:47 35
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 29 10 4 15 39:57 34
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 29 9 1 19 47:68 28
10 Narva 29 5 4 20 22:65 19
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)