Sport Picks

Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion

Harju JK Laagri

2 - 3

Kuressaare

Our Tip

Match Events

Kaevats A.

12'

Laur K.

46'

Sub

Kaevats A. In: Palutaja H.

Out: Kaevats A.

Summary Win Prob Goals Form H2H Tactics Players Indices Predictions Timeline Accuracy Compare

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga game between Harju JK Laagri and Kuressaare finished 2-3, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Kuressaare.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

60%

Harju JK Laagri

22%

Draws

18%

Kuressaare

Draw rate projection: 22% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

82% / Very High Confidence

Harju JK Laagri carry the better recent record into this one.
Harju JK Laagri are the model's pick here, at 60%.
This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%

Over 1.5 Goals 82%

Over 2.5 Goals 78%

Over 3.5 Goals 25%

Over 4.5 Goals 11%

Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 74.6%

Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 16%

Kuressaare Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric	Harju JK Laagri	Kuressaare
Matches Played	28	28
Wins	12	8
Draws	4	4
Losses	12	16
Goals Scored	1	1
Goals Conceded	1.88	1.63
Expected Goals (xG)	1.00	1.00
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA)	1.88	1.63

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Jun 13, 2026 Meistriliiga

Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare

Possession: 51% - 57% Cards: 1 - 2

2:3

Apr 11, 2026 Meistriliiga

Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri

Possession: 44% - 40% Cards: 4 - 1

3:2

Sep 17, 2025 Meistriliiga

Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare

Possession: 45% - 40% Cards: 4 - 2

2:1

Aug 9, 2025 Meistriliiga

Kuressaare vs Harju JK Laagri

Possession: 55% - 58% Cards: 3 - 0

1:3

Jun 29, 2025 Meistriliiga

Harju JK Laagri vs Kuressaare

Possession: 47% - 60% Cards: 4 - 2

1:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Top Goalscorer Kelement M.

1 Goals

Assists Leader Liit S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.77

Avg xA / game 0.5

Kuressaare Compare

Top Goalscorer Kivi A.

2 Goals

Assists Leader Prunn S.

1 Ast

Avg xG / game 0.91

Avg xA / game 0.56

Sokapicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 57 / 100

Kuressaare 18 / 100

How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

Harju JK Laagri Kuressaare

Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick HAR Win (1)

Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals & BTTS Yes

Correct Score 2:1

BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)

Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

Sokapicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Attacking prowess: Harju JK Laagri scored in 82% of their last 28 outings.

Kuressaare let in goals in 86% of their last 28 matches.

H2H data points to 3.80 goals as a typical output.

Kuressaare's recent record shows 3 losses from the last 5 matches.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Kuressaare

1 Goals Scored 1

1.88 Goals Conceded 1.63

75% Over 1.5 75%

75% Over 2.5 50%

25% Over 3.5 25%

League Standings

Pos	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Levadia	19	14	4	1	49:16	46
2	Flora	19	12	0	7	39:21	36
3	Kalju	19	10	4	5	33:16	34
4	Paide Linnameeskond	19	9	5	5	30:23	32
5	Parnu JK Vaprus	19	8	2	9	27:35	26
6	Tammeka Tartu	18	8	2	8	21:26	26
7	Nomme Utd	20	8	1	11	39:46	25
8	Harju JK Laagri	19	7	1	11	25:32	22
9	Kuressaare	19	5	2	12	19:33	17
10	Narva	19	3	1	15	12:46	10