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Harju JK Laagri vs Tammeka Tartu - H2H Analysis, Preview & Predictions

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Laagri kunstmurustaadion, Laagri
Our Tip

Match Events

16'
Kesa M.
17'
Lang T.
21' Event
Hydara M.
Assist: Sambe M.

AI Match Summary

Tammeka Tartu in this Meistriliiga matchup, with the score ending 0-2 — backing the pre-match view that favored Tammeka Tartu.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

45%
Harju JK Laagri
15%
Draws
40%
Tammeka Tartu
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

45% / Medium Confidence
  • Tammeka Tartu have won more games recently than Harju JK Laagri.
  • Harju JK Laagri are the model's pick here, at 90%.
  • Regular Meistriliiga form gives a decent read on both sides.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 78%).

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 92%
Over 1.5 Goals 82%
Over 2.5 Goals 78%
Over 3.5 Goals 70%
Over 4.5 Goals 32%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 69.4%
Harju JK Laagri Clean Sheet 19%
Tammeka Tartu Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri Tammeka Tartu
Matches Played 28 28
Wins 12 16
Draws 2 2
Losses 14 10
Goals Scored 1.96 2.04
Goals Conceded 1.5 1.36
Expected Goals (xG) 2.06 1.25
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 6, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Tammeka Tartu
0:2
Jul 5, 2026 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Harju JK Laagri
2:1
Apr 25, 2026 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Tammeka Tartu
1:0
Oct 22, 2025 Meistriliiga
Harju JK Laagri vs Tammeka Tartu
2:2
Aug 31, 2025 Meistriliiga
Tammeka Tartu vs Harju JK Laagri
3:0

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri Compare

Avg xG / game 1.58
Avg xA / game 1.03

Tammeka Tartu Compare

Top Goalscorer Hydara M.
1 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.14
Avg xA / game 0.69

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri 85 / 100
Tammeka Tartu 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri Tammeka Tartu

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 6:3
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Harju JK Laagri scored in 75% of their last 28 games.

Games between these two average 2.60 goals.

Harju JK Laagri went unbeaten in 4 of their last 5 games.

Tammeka Tartu has conceded goals in 57% of their last 28 outings.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri VS Tammeka Tartu
2.13 Goals Scored 1.63
0.88 Goals Conceded 2
63% Over 1.5 100%
50% Over 2.5 63%
25% Over 3.5 63%

Recent Form & Match History

Harju JK Laagri

(Home)
10 Oct
Kalju
0 : 1
Harju JK Laagri
03 Oct
FC Tallinn
0 : 10
Harju JK Laagri
18 Sept
Harju JK Laagri
0 : 0
Kuressaare
13 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond
1 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
09 Sept
Parnu JK Vaprus
3 : 2
Harju JK Laagri
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Tammeka Tartu

(Away)
10 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 0
Nomme Utd
02 Oct
Tammeka Tartu
4 : 1
Viimsi JK
20 Sept
Tammeka Tartu
1 : 3
Kalju
17 Sept
Levadia
6 : 0
Tammeka Tartu
13 Sept
Kuressaare
1 : 3
Tammeka Tartu
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Levadia 29 22 6 1 81:21 72
2 Flora 29 18 1 10 59:39 55
3 Paide Linnameeskond 29 15 6 8 48:36 51
4 Kalju 30 15 5 10 52:28 50
5 Tammeka Tartu 30 15 2 13 41:47 47
6 Harju JK Laagri 30 12 2 16 41:47 38
7 Parnu JK Vaprus 30 10 5 15 41:59 35
8 Kuressaare 29 8 5 16 31:49 29
9 Nomme Utd 30 9 1 20 47:72 28
10 Narva 30 5 5 20 24:67 20
Promotion - Champions League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Promotion - Conference League 2027/2028 (Qualification)
Relegation - Meistriliiga (Relegation)
Relegation - Esiliiga 2027 (Main)