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Harju JK Laagri W vs Elva W

Estonia Estonia

Meistriliiga Women
Our Tip

Match Events

14' Event
Jaarmann M.
24' Event
Hudsi K.
33' Event
Joelaid M.
(Penalty)

AI Match Summary

The Meistriliiga Women game between Harju JK Laagri W and Elva W finished 3-2, a result that aligned with the model's pre-match lean toward Harju JK Laagri W.

Win Probability Meter

Derived from 10,000 simulations matching home advantage & form profiles

43%
Harju JK Laagri W
15%
Draws
42%
Elva W
Draw rate projection: 15% Favored: Harju JK Laagri W

Model Confidence

Aggregate indicator score

43% / Low Confidence
  • Look at the last few games and Elva W come out ahead of Harju JK Laagri W on wins alone.
  • Win probability leans Harju JK Laagri W's way, sitting at 90%.
  • This is a straightforward league game — the season-long numbers should hold up.
  • High conversion rates suggest a high-scoring game (Over 2.5 Probability: 83%).
  • Harju JK Laagri W have won 3 of the last 4 meetings between these two.

Goal Probability Engine

Model estimations for goals markets based on xG conversion histories

Over 0.5 Goals 99%
Over 1.5 Goals 100%
Over 2.5 Goals 83%
Over 3.5 Goals 75.5%
Over 4.5 Goals 34%
Both Teams To Score (BTTS) 77.8%
Harju JK Laagri W Clean Sheet 10%
Elva W Clean Sheet 10%

Recent Team Form Analysis

Averages per match over historical game filters

Metric Harju JK Laagri W Elva W
Matches Played 20 29
Wins 4 5
Draws 3 2
Losses 13 22
Goals Scored 1.55 1.34
Goals Conceded 2.75 4.17
Expected Goals (xG) 3.06 1.88
Expected Goals Conceded (xGA) 1.10 1.40

H2H

Historical prediction success rates across key markets

Sep 12, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Harju JK Laagri W
0:6
Aug 12, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Harju JK Laagri W vs Elva W
3:2
Jul 18, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Harju JK Laagri W vs Elva W
6:2
May 9, 2026 Meistriliiga Women
Elva W vs Harju JK Laagri W
3:1

Key Player Impact Analysis

Key performers and expected goal involvement factors

Harju JK Laagri W Compare

Top Goalscorer Jaarmann M.
1 Goals
Assists Leader Lehtmets L.
1 Ast
Avg xG / game 2.35
Avg xA / game 1.53

Elva W Compare

Top Goalscorer Hudsi K.
2 Goals
Avg xG / game 1.71
Avg xA / game 1.04

SokaPicks Momentum Index

Current performance index incorporating opponent strength & fatigue (0-100)

Harju JK Laagri W 83 / 100
Elva W 10 / 100
How it's calculated: Weighted formula of recent form points (60%), goal margin trends (20%), home/away adjustments (10%), and squad impact availability ratings (10%).

Attack & Defence Capability Index

ATTACK DEFENCE POSSESSION DISCIPLINE
Harju JK Laagri W Elva W

AI Prediction Engine Forecast

Simulated score frequencies and primary prediction markets

Primary Pick Harju JK Laagri W Win (1)
Secondary Pick Over 2.5 Goals or BTTS Yes
Correct Score 2:1
BTTS Outcome Yes (GG)
Over/Under Pick Over 2.5

SokaPicks Smart Insights

Historical trends and unique patterns automatically detected by our system

Elva W has conceded goals in 100% of their last 28 outings.

Games between these two average 5.75 goals.

Harju JK Laagri W's goal record stands at 75% scoring rate across 20 recent games.

Difficult form: Elva W registered 4 defeats in their last 5 games.

Scoring Trends

Harju JK Laagri W VS Elva W
1.88 Goals Scored 1.25
2.5 Goals Conceded 4.25
100% Over 1.5 100%
75% Over 2.5 88%
63% Over 3.5 88%

Recent Form & Match History

Harju JK Laagri W

(Home)
26 Sept
Viimsi JK W
3 : 1
Harju JK Laagri W
20 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 5
Flora W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
0 : 3
Paide Linnameeskond W
02 Sept
Harju JK Laagri W
1 : 5
Flora W
Page 1 of 4

Elva W

(Away)
26 Sept
Paide Linnameeskond W
9 : 1
Elva W
19 Sept
Viimsi JK W
9 : 1
Elva W
12 Sept
Elva W
0 : 6
Harju JK Laagri W
05 Sept
Saku Sporting W
5 : 1
Elva W
29 Aug
Elva W
3 : 2
Flora W
Page 1 of 6

League Standings

Pos Team P W D L GD Pts
1 Flora W 20 13 3 4 60:24 42
2 Paide Linnameeskond W 20 14 0 6 63:31 42
3 Viimsi JK W 20 10 3 7 44:32 33
4 Saku Sporting W 20 10 2 8 52:47 32
5 Harju JK Laagri W 20 4 3 13 31:55 15
6 Elva W 20 3 1 16 26:87 10
Relegation - Meistriliiga Women (Relegation)